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Information Journal Paper

Title

A HYBRID MODEL FOR FORECASTING DAILY URBAN WATER DEMAND

Pages

  1-17

Abstract

 Water as one of the most important human needs plays a vital role in everyday life. Therefore, awareness of the required amount of water DEMAND is of particular importance to policy-making in line with DEMAND management. In this study, a hybrid model (a combination of linear and non-linear models) has been designed to predict short-term URBAN WATER DEMAND which matches with the climatic conditions and structure of Tehran and variables affecting the water consumption. With using the model, daily URBAN WATER DEMAND for the next 10 days was predicted based by ARIMA, ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS (ANN) and WAVELET TRANSFORM hybrid models. Then the forecasted values of mentioned models were evaluated by MAPE and R2 criteria in step-by-step and full 10 days predictions. Finally, WAVELET TRANSFORM hybrid model with low error (high prediction accuracy) was selected as an optimal model for predicting daily water DEMAND of Tehran.

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    Cite

    APA: Copy

    ARAM, ABDOL RAHMAN, & AGHELI, LOTFALI. (2012). A HYBRID MODEL FOR FORECASTING DAILY URBAN WATER DEMAND. JOURNAL OF QUANTITATIVE ECONOMICS (QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS REVIEW), 9(1 (32)), 1-17. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/110831/en

    Vancouver: Copy

    ARAM ABDOL RAHMAN, AGHELI LOTFALI. A HYBRID MODEL FOR FORECASTING DAILY URBAN WATER DEMAND. JOURNAL OF QUANTITATIVE ECONOMICS (QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS REVIEW)[Internet]. 2012;9(1 (32)):1-17. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/110831/en

    IEEE: Copy

    ABDOL RAHMAN ARAM, and LOTFALI AGHELI, “A HYBRID MODEL FOR FORECASTING DAILY URBAN WATER DEMAND,” JOURNAL OF QUANTITATIVE ECONOMICS (QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS REVIEW), vol. 9, no. 1 (32), pp. 1–17, 2012, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/110831/en

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