Developing Future Scenarios for the Construction Industry based on New Technologies

Q: How can I download an article?

To download an article from SID, first log in to the site, search for the article title, and click on the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I download an ISI article?

To download an ISI article on SID, enter the keyword or article title in the search bar, view the relevant results, click on the desired article, and select the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I access the SID database?

To access the SID database, visit SID.ir, create an account, and log in to access scientific resources.

Q: Is downloading articles from SID free?

Some articles on SID are available for free, while others require payment. Details are specified on the article's page.

Marzban Minoochehr; Eghbali Seyed Rahman; Asadi Malekjahan Farzaneh

مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: JOURNAL OF IRAN FUTURES STUDIES Year:2022 | Volume:7 | Issue:2 Page(s): 181-202

Download Full-Text

Persian Verion

View:

Download:

Cites:

Information Journal Paper

Title

Developing Future Scenarios for the Construction Industry based on New Technologies

Author(s)

Marzban Minoochehr | Eghbali Seyed Rahman | Asadi Malekjahan Farzaneh | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Futures StudiesQ4

Scenario WritingQ4

UncertaintyQ4

new technologiesQ4

Construction IndustryQ4

Abstract

Purpose: The future of the Construction Industry is increasingly influenced by new technologies. In order to adopt appropriate strategies in facing new technologies, it is necessary to know the possible futures of the Construction Industry. This research was done with the aim of explaining the technological uncertainties and compiling the future scenarios of the Construction Industry. Method: The research method is applied and was carried out with a combination of quantitative and qualitative methods. First, the library study was used to determine the technological drivers, then the Structural Analysis was used to explain the technological uncertainties, and finally, the Schwartz method was used to compile the scenarios. The statistical population is experts of Construction Industry. Findings: Nine technological uncertainties affecting the future of the Construction Industry have been identified and for each of them, three states of decline, stagnation and progress have been considered. Data analysis by Scenario Wizard shows eight probable scenarios. The portfolio of scenarios including four groups of progress scenarios, towards progress, towards stagnation, and towards wane has been compiled. Conclusion: In the progress scenario, the 89% of uncertainties have developed. In towards progress, 56% of the factors are in the development status, which indicates the development of the technological factor application. In the stagnation scenario, no progress has been made in the application of uncertainties and they are in a static state. In towards wane, uncertainties have been placed in a situation of reduced use.

Cites

No record.

References

No record.

Cite

Related Journal Papers

No record.

Related Seminar Papers

No record.

Related Plans

No record.

Recommended Workshops