CLIMATE CHANGE ASSESSMENT OF TABRIZ WEATHER STATION AT 2010- 2100 PERIOD USING DOWNSCALE DATA LARS-WG MODEL

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FARAJZADEH MANOUCHEHR; FEIZI VAHID

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Journal: GEOGRAPHICAL JOURNAL OF TERRITORY Year:2012 | Volume:9 | Issue:33 Page(s): 63-76

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Title

CLIMATE CHANGE ASSESSMENT OF TABRIZ WEATHER STATION AT 2010- 2100 PERIOD USING DOWNSCALE DATA LARS-WG MODEL

Author(s)

FARAJZADEH MANOUCHEHR | FEIZI VAHID | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

CLIMATE VARIATIONQ1

STIMULATIONQ2

DOWNSCALE INDEXQ2

LARS-WG MODELQ2

Abstract

Using downscale statistic index in estimation of climate alternating, cause to product the climate data at temporal and local scale. This ability can be help to climate alternating studies at local and temporal scale. Using climate condition production can transform the output models of general circulation of atmosphere to downscale. One of these models is LARS.This research pay to the modeling of LARS model function in data modeling of Tabriz weather station under A1 scenario by LARS-WG statistic pattern at 2010- 2100 statistic period. The results shows the LARS model is suitable in climate variables modeling and can be used to reconstruction of station data at past period or to prolongation of this data for future period. The obtain results were analyzed in two group. First of all the CLIMATE VARIATIONs presses and position at 1987- 2007 period were divided to 4 periods and then each period were analyses separately. Also results shows rather than mean period there is an increasing of temperature at second to third periods. Then pay to predication of minimum and maximum mean temperature of second group at three periods such as 2011-2040, 2041-2070, 2070-2100. In this regard increasing of temperatures’ severity and duration instead of mean temperature of 1987-2007 periods. As there is no zero temperature in maximum mean temperatures and predict the expanse higher than zero and lack of Glaciations' position.

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APA: Copy

FARAJZADEH, MANOUCHEHR, & FEIZI, VAHID. (2012). CLIMATE CHANGE ASSESSMENT OF TABRIZ WEATHER STATION AT 2010- 2100 PERIOD USING DOWNSCALE DATA LARS-WG MODEL. GEOGRAPHICAL JOURNAL OF TERRITORY, 9(33), 63-76. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/116283/en

Vancouver: Copy

FARAJZADEH MANOUCHEHR, FEIZI VAHID. CLIMATE CHANGE ASSESSMENT OF TABRIZ WEATHER STATION AT 2010- 2100 PERIOD USING DOWNSCALE DATA LARS-WG MODEL. GEOGRAPHICAL JOURNAL OF TERRITORY[Internet]. 2012;9(33):63-76. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/116283/en

IEEE: Copy

MANOUCHEHR FARAJZADEH, and VAHID FEIZI, “CLIMATE CHANGE ASSESSMENT OF TABRIZ WEATHER STATION AT 2010- 2100 PERIOD USING DOWNSCALE DATA LARS-WG MODEL,” GEOGRAPHICAL JOURNAL OF TERRITORY, vol. 9, no. 33, pp. 63–76, 2012, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/116283/en

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