THE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF CLIMATIC FLUCTUATION OF KHORASAN

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BANIVAHEB ALIREZA

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Journal: GEOGRAPHICAL JOURNAL OF TERRITORY Year:2011 | Volume:8 | Issue:29 Page(s): 93-105

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Title

THE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF CLIMATIC FLUCTUATION OF KHORASAN

Author(s)

BANIVAHEB ALIREZA | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

MARKOV CHAINQ2

KHORASAN PROVINCEQ3

FORECASTINGQ2

Abstract

Concerning the drought being experienced recently and its effect on planning, and economical, agricultural fields and the demands on predicting and applying different models for decision making, MARKOV CHAINs model was applied in Khorasan at Mashhad, Torbat Heydarieh, Birjand and Bojnord stations. This model studies the phenomena which depend on the previous ones. Here, we have studied the possibility of the occurrence of dry and wet days (wetness threshold of 0.1 mm), the cold days (below 0o C) and warm days (above 25o C).Finally, two analyses were done using MARKOV CHAINs model. Also, for predicting 1 to 10 day periods, Xn=Pn-1 × q from statistical distribution was applied and the data was presented in the form of equiprobable maps. To analyze the provided data and maps, SPSS and SURFER softwares were applied.

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APA: Copy

BANIVAHEB, ALIREZA. (2011). THE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF CLIMATIC FLUCTUATION OF KHORASAN. GEOGRAPHICAL JOURNAL OF TERRITORY, 8(29), 93-105. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/116337/en

Vancouver: Copy

BANIVAHEB ALIREZA. THE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF CLIMATIC FLUCTUATION OF KHORASAN. GEOGRAPHICAL JOURNAL OF TERRITORY[Internet]. 2011;8(29):93-105. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/116337/en

IEEE: Copy

ALIREZA BANIVAHEB, “THE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF CLIMATIC FLUCTUATION OF KHORASAN,” GEOGRAPHICAL JOURNAL OF TERRITORY, vol. 8, no. 29, pp. 93–105, 2011, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/116337/en

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