ANALYZING THE EFFECTS OF ENERGY PRICE LIBERALIZATION ON THE MAIN MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES OF IRAN, WITHIN A STRUCTURAL MACRO ECONOMETRIC MODEL FRAMEWORK

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NOFERESTI MOHAMMAD; JALOULI MEHDI

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Journal: Journal of Economic Research Year:2012 | Volume:47 | Issue:3 Page(s): 185-205

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Information Journal Paper

Title

ANALYZING THE EFFECTS OF ENERGY PRICE LIBERALIZATION ON THE MAIN MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES OF IRAN, WITHIN A STRUCTURAL MACRO ECONOMETRIC MODEL FRAMEWORK

Author(s)

NOFERESTI MOHAMMAD | JALOULI MEHDI | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

ENERGY PRICE LIBERALIZATIONQ2

STRUCTURAL MACRO ECONOMETRIC MODELQ2

DYNAMIC SIMULATIONQ2

STATIONARYQ2

COINTEGRATIONQ2

ERROR CORRECTION MODELQ2

Abstract

A medium scale STRUCTURAL MACRO ECONOMETRIC MODEL is constructed to investigate the effects of ENERGY PRICE LIBERALIZATION on the main macroeconomic variables. The analysis is conducted under 3 different scenarios of increasing the price of energy sources to the level prevailed in the countries of the Persian Gulf region. These 3 scenarios are a sudden increase, a gradual increase within a 5 years time span and a gradual increase in energy prices together with some compensation of household and the industry.The simulation results show that under the first scenario, inflation rate goes up to 94%, GDP growth rate reduces to 1.2% and unemployment rate rises to 11.5%. Under the second scenario, in the first year of rising energy prices, inflation rate increase to 27.7% and GDP growth rates falls to 2%. If the third scenario is chosen, the inflation rate will increase to 95.2% in the first year, while GDP growth rate and unemployment rate will be 1.2% and 11.5% respectively.

Cites

THE IMPACTS OF BUDGET DEFICIT AND INFLATIONARY TAX ON THE DEMAND SIDE OF IRAN’S ECONOMY

References

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APA: Copy

NOFERESTI, MOHAMMAD, & JALOULI, MEHDI. (2012). ANALYZING THE EFFECTS OF ENERGY PRICE LIBERALIZATION ON THE MAIN MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES OF IRAN, WITHIN A STRUCTURAL MACRO ECONOMETRIC MODEL FRAMEWORK. TAHGHIGHAT-E-EGHTESADI, 47(3), 185-205. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/11987/en

Vancouver: Copy

NOFERESTI MOHAMMAD, JALOULI MEHDI. ANALYZING THE EFFECTS OF ENERGY PRICE LIBERALIZATION ON THE MAIN MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES OF IRAN, WITHIN A STRUCTURAL MACRO ECONOMETRIC MODEL FRAMEWORK. TAHGHIGHAT-E-EGHTESADI[Internet]. 2012;47(3):185-205. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/11987/en

IEEE: Copy

MOHAMMAD NOFERESTI, and MEHDI JALOULI, “ANALYZING THE EFFECTS OF ENERGY PRICE LIBERALIZATION ON THE MAIN MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES OF IRAN, WITHIN A STRUCTURAL MACRO ECONOMETRIC MODEL FRAMEWORK,” TAHGHIGHAT-E-EGHTESADI, vol. 47, no. 3, pp. 185–205, 2012, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/11987/en

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