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Information Journal Paper

Title

PRICE VOLATILITY REGIME SWITCHING IN IRANIAN MEAT MARKET USEING MARKOV SWITCHING GARCH MODELS

Pages

  133-162

Abstract

 Price VOLATILITY and VOLATILITY REGIME SWITCHING of Iranian important livestock markets are modeled using hay, sheep, calf, mutton, and beef monthly return series over the period of April 1992 to March 2014, using Markov-switching generalized autoregressive conditional hetroscedastisity models. The results suggest the existence of two VOLATILITY regimes in all studied markets and frequently switching from one regime to another all except for hay. Hay market is the most homogeneous market in terms of VOLATILITY REGIME SWITCHING while mutton market is the most variable one. According to results, although the high VOLATILITY regime lasts less than low VOLATILITY regime, persictency of high VOLATILITY regime (at least 5 month) in producer and retailer meat markets and frequently switching from one regime to another lead to uncertainty of investing in meat production. It also leads to unpredictability of market condition and variability of consumer’s welfare.

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    APA: Copy

    RASOULI BEIRAMI, ZAHRA, GHAHREMANZADEH, MOHAMMAD, & DASHTI, GHADER. (2017). PRICE VOLATILITY REGIME SWITCHING IN IRANIAN MEAT MARKET USEING MARKOV SWITCHING GARCH MODELS. AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS (ECONOMICS AND AGRICULTURE JOURNAL), 11(1 ), 133-162. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/124469/en

    Vancouver: Copy

    RASOULI BEIRAMI ZAHRA, GHAHREMANZADEH MOHAMMAD, DASHTI GHADER. PRICE VOLATILITY REGIME SWITCHING IN IRANIAN MEAT MARKET USEING MARKOV SWITCHING GARCH MODELS. AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS (ECONOMICS AND AGRICULTURE JOURNAL)[Internet]. 2017;11(1 ):133-162. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/124469/en

    IEEE: Copy

    ZAHRA RASOULI BEIRAMI, MOHAMMAD GHAHREMANZADEH, and GHADER DASHTI, “PRICE VOLATILITY REGIME SWITCHING IN IRANIAN MEAT MARKET USEING MARKOV SWITCHING GARCH MODELS,” AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS (ECONOMICS AND AGRICULTURE JOURNAL), vol. 11, no. 1 , pp. 133–162, 2017, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/124469/en

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