Analyzing the Consequences of reducing consumption of inputs in accordance with the Fifth Development Plan on Cropping Pattern in Amol Township

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JOOLAIE RAMTIN; MIRKARIMI SHAHRZAD; Barikani Elham; AMJADI AFSHIN

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Journal: AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS (ECONOMICS AND AGRICULTURE JOURNAL) Year:2018 | Volume:12 | Issue:1 Page(s): 1-19

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Title

Analyzing the Consequences of reducing consumption of inputs in accordance with the Fifth Development Plan on Cropping Pattern in Amol Township

Author(s)

JOOLAIE RAMTIN | MIRKARIMI SHAHRZAD | Barikani Elham | AMJADI AFSHIN | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Cropping patternQ2

Fifth development planQ2

Positive mathematical programmingQ1

Consuption of agricultural inputsQ1

Abstract

In Fifth development plan, some suitable scientific and managerial policies have been expressed in order to optimizing the use of inputs and producing compatible crops with the conditions of each area. In this study with applying Positive mathematical programming method, we evaluated the impacts of possible changes in consumption of inputs on Cropping pattern of agricultural crops in Amol Township. These possible changes are propounded in the form of some scenarios like 1% reduction in water usage (PMP1), 7% reduction in fertilizers usage (PMP2), 1% reduction in pesticides usage (PMP3), 0. 64% increase in employment (PMP4) and simultaneously mix these scenarios (PMP5). So that in 1392-1393, 124 farmers of this Township were interviewed through simple random sampling method. The results show that with running scenarios 1, 3 & 4 separately, any changes don’ t occur in cultivated area of crops; so the least reduction that models reaction to it was calculated by sensitivity analysis. Also the results show that with running scenario 5 (PMP5), observe respectively 5 and 0. 2 percent decrease in cultivated area of crops and current gross margin of this Township in compare with current model. So that the greatest reduction in cultivated area, respectively with 40 and 30 percent are related to irrigated barley and Rainfed soybean. Also, all of these scenarios lead to reduction in gross margin, which will reduce the welfare of the farmers in this area; therefore, it is suggested to take the necessary actions for improving their livelihoods.

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APA: Copy

JOOLAIE, RAMTIN, MIRKARIMI, SHAHRZAD, Barikani, Elham, & AMJADI, AFSHIN. (2018). Analyzing the Consequences of reducing consumption of inputs in accordance with the Fifth Development Plan on Cropping Pattern in Amol Township. AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS (ECONOMICS AND AGRICULTURE JOURNAL), 12(1 ), 1-19. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/124530/en

Vancouver: Copy

JOOLAIE RAMTIN, MIRKARIMI SHAHRZAD, Barikani Elham, AMJADI AFSHIN. Analyzing the Consequences of reducing consumption of inputs in accordance with the Fifth Development Plan on Cropping Pattern in Amol Township. AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS (ECONOMICS AND AGRICULTURE JOURNAL)[Internet]. 2018;12(1 ):1-19. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/124530/en

IEEE: Copy

RAMTIN JOOLAIE, SHAHRZAD MIRKARIMI, Elham Barikani, and AFSHIN AMJADI, “Analyzing the Consequences of reducing consumption of inputs in accordance with the Fifth Development Plan on Cropping Pattern in Amol Township,” AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS (ECONOMICS AND AGRICULTURE JOURNAL), vol. 12, no. 1 , pp. 1–19, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/124530/en

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