The Position of statistical assessment Doctrine of the risk of crime in the leniency parole (A case study of prisons in East Azerbaijan province)

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Pourghahramani Babak; karimzadeh Bayaz

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Journal: JOURNAL OF LAW AND POLITICS Year:2019 | Volume:16 | Issue:41 Page(s): 115-137

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Title

The Position of statistical assessment Doctrine of the risk of crime in the leniency parole (A case study of prisons in East Azerbaijan province)

Author(s)

Pourghahramani Babak | karimzadeh Bayaz | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Estimated justiceQ1

statistically evaluatingQ1

the risk of crimeQ1

leniency paroleQ1

Abstract

In the New system of management, guard’ s system is one of the most important issues and indeed predict the future behavior of the individual qualities and identifying perpetrators is risky. To predict the behavior in the future, we rely to the clinical and statistical tools. In this context, a new approach; criminal justice; is shaped in the criminal policy. in this approach, instead of finding a personal causes of social crime and addressing the individual, giulty in the base of characteristics and risk factors are classified as high-risk groups. Using statistical methods and clinical probability is estimated to be offended by him in the future. Law Islamic Punishment Act of 1392 (Article 58 of the Law) consider different criteria than the previous law and with deep understanding of article, however, we learn that in spite of the legislator facilitate Terms of conditional discharge but the prediction of recidivism is also has great importance Therefore, the purpose to predict the probability of committing a crime by his behavior at all stages of the criminal process conditional discharge. The research method in terms of the nature of the analytical method and library and case study The research method of this article is experimental-field and also benefited from the release of prisoners in East Azerbaijan province in 1393, 864 prisons (control group) and in 1394, 805 prisons (experimental group) were studied. The results show that, with comparative Comparing the data of 1394 with 1393, we conclude that Using statistical assessment of the risk of re-offense rate of return prisoners benefited from the leniency parole declined by 5%.

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APA: Copy

Pourghahramani, Babak, & karimzadeh, Bayaz. (2019). The Position of statistical assessment Doctrine of the risk of crime in the leniency parole (A case study of prisons in East Azerbaijan province). JOURNAL OF LAW AND POLITICS, 16(41 ), 115-137. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/127746/en

Vancouver: Copy

Pourghahramani Babak, karimzadeh Bayaz. The Position of statistical assessment Doctrine of the risk of crime in the leniency parole (A case study of prisons in East Azerbaijan province). JOURNAL OF LAW AND POLITICS[Internet]. 2019;16(41 ):115-137. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/127746/en

IEEE: Copy

Babak Pourghahramani, and Bayaz karimzadeh, “The Position of statistical assessment Doctrine of the risk of crime in the leniency parole (A case study of prisons in East Azerbaijan province),” JOURNAL OF LAW AND POLITICS, vol. 16, no. 41 , pp. 115–137, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/127746/en

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