THE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES CAUSED BY THE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION; WITH EMPHASIS ON THE CASE OF IRAN

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MAHMOUDI MOHAMMAD JAVAD; MOSHFEGH MAHMOUD

مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Paper Information

Journal: JOURNAL OF POPULATION ASSOCIATION OF IRAN Year:2009 | Volume:4 | Issue:7 Page(s): 67-86

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Information Journal Paper

Title

THE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES CAUSED BY THE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION; WITH EMPHASIS ON THE CASE OF IRAN

Author(s)

MAHMOUDI MOHAMMAD JAVAD | MOSHFEGH MAHMOUD | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITIONQ3

CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIESQ3

THE BELOW REPLACEMENT FERTILITYQ2

POPULATION AGINGQ3

Abstract

This paper aims to study the challenges and the opportunities due to the DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION emphasizing on Iran's past and the probable future experiences. The first DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION that concurrently accompany with modernization and development processes, create some challenges such as increasingly high population growth rate and expansion of population size, young age structure and increase in the population at work ages.The second DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION begins when societies enter post-modernization stage. The most important challenges of second DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION include THE BELOW REPLACEMENT FERTILITY, reduction of population at work age, population ageing and the probable negative growth rate of population.Of course, regarding particular conditions of societies, the pace of changes maybe quite different. Iran has experienced the challenges of the first DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION during the past half a century. If approach of tendentious regularity of social changes is implicitly accepted, we should expect the challenges of the second DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION in Iran at the forthcoming decades. Population planning and proper population policies can give a smooth path to the future challenges of the second DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION in Iran.

Cites

T FUTUROLOGY OF IRAN'S DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES

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APA: Copy

MAHMOUDI, MOHAMMAD JAVAD, & MOSHFEGH, MAHMOUD. (2009). THE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES CAUSED BY THE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION; WITH EMPHASIS ON THE CASE OF IRAN. JOURNAL OF POPULATION ASSOCIATION OF IRAN, 4(7), 67-86. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/127845/en

Vancouver: Copy

MAHMOUDI MOHAMMAD JAVAD, MOSHFEGH MAHMOUD. THE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES CAUSED BY THE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION; WITH EMPHASIS ON THE CASE OF IRAN. JOURNAL OF POPULATION ASSOCIATION OF IRAN[Internet]. 2009;4(7):67-86. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/127845/en

IEEE: Copy

MOHAMMAD JAVAD MAHMOUDI, and MAHMOUD MOSHFEGH, “THE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES CAUSED BY THE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION; WITH EMPHASIS ON THE CASE OF IRAN,” JOURNAL OF POPULATION ASSOCIATION OF IRAN, vol. 4, no. 7, pp. 67–86, 2009, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/127845/en

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