PREDICTION OF MONTHLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURE THROUGH ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK MULTI LAYER PERCEPTRON (MLP)

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ESFANDIARI DARABAD F.; HOSSEINI SEYED ASAD; AZADI MOBARAKI MOHAMMAD; HEJAZIZADEH Z.

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Journal: Geography Year:2011 | Volume:8 | Issue:27 Page(s): 45-65

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Information Journal Paper

Title

PREDICTION OF MONTHLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURE THROUGH ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK MULTI LAYER PERCEPTRON (MLP)

Author(s)

ESFANDIARI DARABAD F. | HOSSEINI SEYED ASAD | AZADI MOBARAKI MOHAMMAD | HEJAZIZADEH Z. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

PREDICTION OF TEMPERATUREQ2

SANANDAJQ2

MULTI LAYER PERCEPTRON (MLP)Q3

Abstract

PREDICTION OF TEMPERATURE as one of the most important climate parameters in different management areas and natural water resources, droughts, environmental studies, flood risk, food shortages, development of pests and diseases, transportation and etc., of special importance in determine future policy for the optimization of resources and spending costs, control and prevent crisis and has use of resources. In this study, through information monthly average temperature of SANANDAJ Synoptic Stations in 38-year statistical period (2001-1964), as input Multilayer Perceptron network, the monthly average temperature was predicted during the years (2005-2002) to determine error model. For this purpose, used the features and functions available in environment programming MATLAB software, advantage was taken. Then the performance evaluation model by statistical criteria, including regression and correlation relationships between observed and predicted values of temperature and addressed the relative mean error percent. The results show good efficiency and acceptable accuracy of artificial neural networks in predicting the temperature. So that the correlation coefficient equal to 0/99 and the mean percentage error of the model with 1/97 percent., ie prediction is Network true, the temperature difference of less than one degree Celsius temperature Therefore, using this method, temperature conditions can be defined beforehand, and involved water and natural resources management.

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APA: Copy

ESFANDIARI DARABAD, F., HOSSEINI, SEYED ASAD, AZADI MOBARAKI, MOHAMMAD, & HEJAZIZADEH, Z.. (2011). PREDICTION OF MONTHLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURE THROUGH ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK MULTI LAYER PERCEPTRON (MLP). GEOGRAPHY, 8(27), 45-65. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/150420/en

Vancouver: Copy

ESFANDIARI DARABAD F., HOSSEINI SEYED ASAD, AZADI MOBARAKI MOHAMMAD, HEJAZIZADEH Z.. PREDICTION OF MONTHLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURE THROUGH ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK MULTI LAYER PERCEPTRON (MLP). GEOGRAPHY[Internet]. 2011;8(27):45-65. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/150420/en

IEEE: Copy

F. ESFANDIARI DARABAD, SEYED ASAD HOSSEINI, MOHAMMAD AZADI MOBARAKI, and Z. HEJAZIZADEH, “PREDICTION OF MONTHLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURE THROUGH ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK MULTI LAYER PERCEPTRON (MLP),” GEOGRAPHY, vol. 8, no. 27, pp. 45–65, 2011, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/150420/en

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