FOREST FIRE RISK ZONE MAPPING IN THE GOLESTAN NATIONAL PARK USING REGRESSION LOGISTIC METHOD

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MIRDEILAMI T.; SHATAEE SH.; KAVOOSI M.R.

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Journal: Journal of Wood and Forest Science and Technology Year:2015 | Volume:22 | Issue:1 Page(s): 1-16

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Title

FOREST FIRE RISK ZONE MAPPING IN THE GOLESTAN NATIONAL PARK USING REGRESSION LOGISTIC METHOD

Author(s)

MIRDEILAMI T. | SHATAEE SH. | KAVOOSI M.R. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

MODELLINGQ1

FOREST FIREQ2

GISQ3

LOGISTIC REGRESSIONQ2

GOLESTAN NATIONAL PARKQ2

Abstract

Forest fires in Iran and particularly in the northern forests had destructive effects on the physiognomy of these forests. Recognition, prevention and controlling the Socio-economic destroys caused by natural hazard are the main objectives of administrative and educational organizations. One of the methods for prevention of FOREST FIREs is mapping the probability risk zones. In this study, map of fire probability risk for GOLESTAN NATIONAL PARK was prepared using regression logistic method and GIS. The effective factors on fires including climate, topography, vegetation and human factors were prepared in the GIS environment by different methods and sources. The occurred FOREST FIREs map was gathered and generated as a Boolean map. The LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODELLING was done using effective factors as independent variables and the occurred FOREST FIRE map as dependent variable. The obtained Pseudo R2= 0.3121 and ROC= 0.9132 from model indicate that regression logistic could modeled FOREST FIRE probabilities on the study area. The probability fire map was classified to four low, medium, high and sever dangerous classes. The obtained FOREST FIRE probability map was assessed using the some unused occurred fire points. The assessment results showed that more of occurred FOREST FIRE points were in the medium and high dangerous classes.

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APA: Copy

MIRDEILAMI, T., SHATAEE, SH., & KAVOOSI, M.R.. (2015). FOREST FIRE RISK ZONE MAPPING IN THE GOLESTAN NATIONAL PARK USING REGRESSION LOGISTIC METHOD. JOURNAL OF WOOD AND FOREST SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, 22(1), 1-16. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/156867/en

Vancouver: Copy

MIRDEILAMI T., SHATAEE SH., KAVOOSI M.R.. FOREST FIRE RISK ZONE MAPPING IN THE GOLESTAN NATIONAL PARK USING REGRESSION LOGISTIC METHOD. JOURNAL OF WOOD AND FOREST SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY[Internet]. 2015;22(1):1-16. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/156867/en

IEEE: Copy

T. MIRDEILAMI, SH. SHATAEE, and M.R. KAVOOSI, “FOREST FIRE RISK ZONE MAPPING IN THE GOLESTAN NATIONAL PARK USING REGRESSION LOGISTIC METHOD,” JOURNAL OF WOOD AND FOREST SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, vol. 22, no. 1, pp. 1–16, 2015, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/156867/en

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