ANNUAL RAINFALL FORECASTING BASED ON SYNOPTIC PATTERNS OF TELE-CONNECTION USING STATISTICAL MODELS

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FALAH GHALHARI GH.A.; MOUSAVI BAIGI S.M.; HABIBI NOUKHANDAN M.; KHOUSHHAL DASTJERDI J.

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Journal: Journal of Range and Watershed Managment Year:2009 | Volume:62 | Issue:1 Page(s): 111-123

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Title

ANNUAL RAINFALL FORECASTING BASED ON SYNOPTIC PATTERNS OF TELE-CONNECTION USING STATISTICAL MODELS

Author(s)

FALAH GHALHARI GH.A. | MOUSAVI BAIGI S.M. | HABIBI NOUKHANDAN M. | KHOUSHHAL DASTJERDI J. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

SYNOPTIC PATTERNQ3

DIGITAL ELEVATION MODELQ2

METEOROLOGICAL SIGNALSQ3

STEPWISE MODELQ3

Abstract

The research shows that global climate changes and atmospheric general circulation are affected by large scale phenomena that occurred in the sea surface. These large scale phenomena are often named "climate large scale signals". These signals are calculated based on criteria such as sea Level Pressure (SLP), Sea Surface Temperature (SST) and so on. A method for weather forecasting is a special approach based on statistical modeling. In this study, data of 37 rainfall stations were used to model the relation between precipitation and Sea Level Pressure (SLP), Sea Surface Temperature (SST), Sea Level Pressure gradient (DSLP) and the difference between sea surface temperature and air temperature at 1000 HP. The results show that statistical modeling can successfully predict the amount of annual rainfall. The mean root square error for STEPWISE MODEL was obtained 49 millimeters.

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APA: Copy

FALAH GHALHARI, GH.A., MOUSAVI BAIGI, S.M., HABIBI NOUKHANDAN, M., & KHOUSHHAL DASTJERDI, J.. (2009). ANNUAL RAINFALL FORECASTING BASED ON SYNOPTIC PATTERNS OF TELE-CONNECTION USING STATISTICAL MODELS. JOURNAL OF RANGE AND WATERSHED MANAGEMENT (IRANIAN JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES), 62(1), 111-123. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/162612/en

Vancouver: Copy

FALAH GHALHARI GH.A., MOUSAVI BAIGI S.M., HABIBI NOUKHANDAN M., KHOUSHHAL DASTJERDI J.. ANNUAL RAINFALL FORECASTING BASED ON SYNOPTIC PATTERNS OF TELE-CONNECTION USING STATISTICAL MODELS. JOURNAL OF RANGE AND WATERSHED MANAGEMENT (IRANIAN JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES)[Internet]. 2009;62(1):111-123. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/162612/en

IEEE: Copy

GH.A. FALAH GHALHARI, S.M. MOUSAVI BAIGI, M. HABIBI NOUKHANDAN, and J. KHOUSHHAL DASTJERDI, “ANNUAL RAINFALL FORECASTING BASED ON SYNOPTIC PATTERNS OF TELE-CONNECTION USING STATISTICAL MODELS,” JOURNAL OF RANGE AND WATERSHED MANAGEMENT (IRANIAN JOURNAL OF NATURAL RESOURCES), vol. 62, no. 1, pp. 111–123, 2009, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/162612/en

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