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Information Journal Paper

Title

The Accuracy of Artificial Neural Network and Ant Colony Optimization algorithm in predicting profit management

Pages

  82-110

Abstract

 Undrestanding the quality of profits for users of accounting information is very important because of performance appraisal, profitability forecasting, and the determination of corporate value. The purpose of this study is to examine the accuracy of forecasting Earnings Management using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and cluster Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) algorithms and compare it with linear models (LR). For this purpose, 28 variabels that affect the management of earnings in four groups (Financial, Managerial, Corporate and Auditing) have been accepted in 124 companies during the years 2010 to 2016 and were used Tehran Stock Exchange. The overall results of this study shows that artificial neural network and Ant Colony Optimization algorithm in predicting profit management is more accurate than linear method with less error rate. Also, the accuracy of artificial neural network composition and ant colony algorithm(A-ANN), suggests the superiority of this pattern compared to artificial neural network method. The results of the combination of artificial neural network-Ant Colony Optimization algorithm with correlation coefficient (0/878) shows that this model has the ability to predict management with 97 percent accurancy with six predictive variables, accurancy of forecasting, sharehlding of maior shareholders, profitability, fluctuations in profit, company’ s age and size.

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  • Cite

    APA: Copy

    GHADERI, EGHBAL, AMINI, PEYMAN, Mohammadi Mlqrny, Ataullah, & Norvash, Iraj. (2018). The Accuracy of Artificial Neural Network and Ant Colony Optimization algorithm in predicting profit management. FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING, 10(39 ), 82-110. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/168262/en

    Vancouver: Copy

    GHADERI EGHBAL, AMINI PEYMAN, Mohammadi Mlqrny Ataullah, Norvash Iraj. The Accuracy of Artificial Neural Network and Ant Colony Optimization algorithm in predicting profit management. FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING[Internet]. 2018;10(39 ):82-110. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/168262/en

    IEEE: Copy

    EGHBAL GHADERI, PEYMAN AMINI, Ataullah Mohammadi Mlqrny, and Iraj Norvash, “The Accuracy of Artificial Neural Network and Ant Colony Optimization algorithm in predicting profit management,” FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING, vol. 10, no. 39 , pp. 82–110, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/168262/en

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