AN ASSESSMENT OF THE INTENSITY OF THE CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE RAINFALL-RUNOFF RELATIONSHIPS OF THE SUFI-CHAI WATERSHED

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GHARIBDOUST MASOUD; GHORBANI MOHAMMAD ALI; FOROZANDEH SHAHRAKI IMAN

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Journal: Journal of Water Resources Engineering Year:2016 | Volume:9 | Issue:29 Page(s): 17-29

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Title

AN ASSESSMENT OF THE INTENSITY OF THE CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE RAINFALL-RUNOFF RELATIONSHIPS OF THE SUFI-CHAI WATERSHED

Author(s)

GHARIBDOUST MASOUD | GHORBANI MOHAMMAD ALI | FOROZANDEH SHAHRAKI IMAN | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

DOWNSCALINGQ1

INTELLIGENT MODELSQ1

LARS-WGQ1

RAINFALL-RUNOFFQ1

SUFI-CHAI BASINQ1

Abstract

The impact of global warming on climate change due to an increase in the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere has been proven in many natural systems. All of the general circulation models (GCM)of the atmosphere predict a warmer future for the planet Earth. Hydrological processes such as rainfall and river flows as main sources of water supply will be affected under such circumstances. Due to the low spatial resolution or simplification of some micro-scale phenomena in atmospheric GCMs, they cannot be employed for an accurate approximation of the climate of a certain area, therefore, their output must be downscaled to the specified meteorological station’s domain. Therefore, the data generated by the Had CM3-GCM were downscaled applying the LARS-WG model under two scenarios A2 and A1B, and the parameters of daily rainfall, and the minimum and maximum temperature of the Sufi-Chi basin generated for three periods (2011-203, 2046-2065-, 2080-2099). The artificial neural networks and genetic programming of intelligent model were used to assess the climate change’s effects on runoff generation of the SUFI-CHAI BASIN. The results indicate that rainfall will increase in the 2011-2030 period and will decrease thereafter. Furthermore, the maximum and minimum temperatures will generally increase in the three mentioned periods, however, the runoff volume will decrease in the future relative to the present time.

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APA: Copy

GHARIBDOUST, MASOUD, GHORBANI, MOHAMMAD ALI, & FOROZANDEH SHAHRAKI, IMAN. (2016). AN ASSESSMENT OF THE INTENSITY OF THE CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE RAINFALL-RUNOFF RELATIONSHIPS OF THE SUFI-CHAI WATERSHED. WATER ENGINEERING, 9(29), 17-29. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/169597/en

Vancouver: Copy

GHARIBDOUST MASOUD, GHORBANI MOHAMMAD ALI, FOROZANDEH SHAHRAKI IMAN. AN ASSESSMENT OF THE INTENSITY OF THE CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE RAINFALL-RUNOFF RELATIONSHIPS OF THE SUFI-CHAI WATERSHED. WATER ENGINEERING[Internet]. 2016;9(29):17-29. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/169597/en

IEEE: Copy

MASOUD GHARIBDOUST, MOHAMMAD ALI GHORBANI, and IMAN FOROZANDEH SHAHRAKI, “AN ASSESSMENT OF THE INTENSITY OF THE CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE RAINFALL-RUNOFF RELATIONSHIPS OF THE SUFI-CHAI WATERSHED,” WATER ENGINEERING, vol. 9, no. 29, pp. 17–29, 2016, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/169597/en

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