A MARKOV CHAIN MODEL FOR SIMULATING LAND USE/COVER CHANGE (CASE STUDY: AGHBOLAGH RIVER)

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KAVEH N.; EBRAHIMI A.

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Journal: Journal of RS and GIS for Natural Resources Year:2013 | Volume:4 | Issue:2 Page(s): 41-51

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Information Journal Paper

Title

A MARKOV CHAIN MODEL FOR SIMULATING LAND USE/COVER CHANGE (CASE STUDY: AGHBOLAGH RIVER)

Author(s)

KAVEH N. | EBRAHIMI A. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

CHANGE DETECTIONQ1

SIMULATIONQ2

CA-MARKOV MODELQ2

CROSS ALGORITHMQ2

AGHBOLAGH RIVERQ2

Abstract

This paper proposes ability of CA Markov model in detection and simulating land use/cover change over 65 km of AGHBOLAGH RIVER. Land use/cover map was prepare using 1956, 1969, 1998 aerial photos and 2006 satellite image’s. Then river, riparian area, agriculture and bare lands around it were illustrated and land use/cover maps of each year were drowned and overlaid through cross routine to evaluate model validation. Finally, next 10 years conditions of these classes were forecasted using CA-MARKOV MODEL. Results of forecasting future changes based on 1969 and 1998 maps showed that in 2016, 60 percent of riparian area, 26.6 percent of river and 58.8 percent of bare lands and 98.1 percent of arable land will be intact as the current land use. In other words, arable lands will have the most stability while river is the most vulnerable land cover to change.

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APA: Copy

KAVEH, N., & EBRAHIMI, A.. (2013). A MARKOV CHAIN MODEL FOR SIMULATING LAND USE/COVER CHANGE (CASE STUDY: AGHBOLAGH RIVER). JOURNAL OF RS AND GIS FOR NATURAL RESOURCES (JOURNAL OF APPLIED RS AND GIS TECHNIQUES IN NATURAL RESOURCE SCIENCE), 4(2), 41-51. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/189618/en

Vancouver: Copy

KAVEH N., EBRAHIMI A.. A MARKOV CHAIN MODEL FOR SIMULATING LAND USE/COVER CHANGE (CASE STUDY: AGHBOLAGH RIVER). JOURNAL OF RS AND GIS FOR NATURAL RESOURCES (JOURNAL OF APPLIED RS AND GIS TECHNIQUES IN NATURAL RESOURCE SCIENCE)[Internet]. 2013;4(2):41-51. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/189618/en

IEEE: Copy

N. KAVEH, and A. EBRAHIMI, “A MARKOV CHAIN MODEL FOR SIMULATING LAND USE/COVER CHANGE (CASE STUDY: AGHBOLAGH RIVER),” JOURNAL OF RS AND GIS FOR NATURAL RESOURCES (JOURNAL OF APPLIED RS AND GIS TECHNIQUES IN NATURAL RESOURCE SCIENCE), vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 41–51, 2013, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/189618/en

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