THE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR SAFFRON EXPORT AND FORECASTING WELFARE CHANGES

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HATEF H.; SARVARY A.

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Paper Information

Journal: JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL EXTENSION AND EDUCATION RESEARCH Year:2010 | Volume:3 | Issue:1 Page(s): 83-98

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Title

THE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR SAFFRON EXPORT AND FORECASTING WELFARE CHANGES

Author(s)

HATEF H. | SARVARY A. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

SAFFRONQ3

EXPORTQ2

SUPPLY AND DEMANDQ4

WELFAREQ4

FORECASTINGQ3

IRANQ3

Abstract

Iran's economy dependent on oil revenues and petroleum products is one of the fundamental problems that constantly develop programs to rid the country to develop non-oil EXPORT, so various policies and strategies intended to developing non-oil EXPORTs as one of these cases. Meanwhile, the SAFFRON as one of the major non-oil EXPORT items has been influence under various factors over time. In this study, the status of SAFFRON EXPORTs, SUPPLY AND DEMAND functions EXPORTed has been estimated. Then, using the following levels of SUPPLY AND DEMAND curves, changes in WELFARE levels of EXPORTers and importers of 5, 10 and 20 percent in EXPORT prices has been estimated during 1973 -2007 and forecasted up to 2013. Result indicated the stationary variables in different stage. Also in SUPPLY AND DEMAND EXPORT equations linear estimating was better than logarithmic and seemingly unrelated regression than 3sls and ARIMA model in FORECASTING WELFARE change. Also it is recommended that for the prevention of lower EXPORTs, product price volatility in world markets should not be high.

Cites

اثر صادرات زعفران بر رشد بخش کشاورزی (مطالعه موردی: ایران و اسپانیا)

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APA: Copy

HATEF, H., & SARVARY, A.. (2010). THE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR SAFFRON EXPORT AND FORECASTING WELFARE CHANGES. JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL EXTENSION AND EDUCATION RESEARCH, 3(1), 83-98. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/189883/en

Vancouver: Copy

HATEF H., SARVARY A.. THE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR SAFFRON EXPORT AND FORECASTING WELFARE CHANGES. JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL EXTENSION AND EDUCATION RESEARCH[Internet]. 2010;3(1):83-98. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/189883/en

IEEE: Copy

H. HATEF, and A. SARVARY, “THE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR SAFFRON EXPORT AND FORECASTING WELFARE CHANGES,” JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL EXTENSION AND EDUCATION RESEARCH, vol. 3, no. 1, pp. 83–98, 2010, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/189883/en

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