A Study on the Effect of Savings Rates on Trade Balance in Iranian Economy, Application of Fuzzy Regression and Auto Regressive Distributed Lag Approaches

Q: How can I download an article?

To download an article from SID, first log in to the site, search for the article title, and click on the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I download an ISI article?

To download an ISI article on SID, enter the keyword or article title in the search bar, view the relevant results, click on the desired article, and select the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I access the SID database?

To access the SID database, visit SID.ir, create an account, and log in to access scientific resources.

Q: Is downloading articles from SID free?

Some articles on SID are available for free, while others require payment. Details are specified on the article's page.

Barghi Osgouei Mohammad Mahdi; KAZEROONI ALIREZA; SALMANI BEHZAD; KHODAVERDIZADEH SABER

مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH Year:2018 | Volume:8 | Issue:31 Page(s): 61-78

Download Full-Text

Persian Verion

View:

459

Download:

Cites:

Information Journal Paper

Title

A Study on the Effect of Savings Rates on Trade Balance in Iranian Economy, Application of Fuzzy Regression and Auto Regressive Distributed Lag Approaches

Author(s)

Barghi Osgouei Mohammad Mahdi | KAZEROONI ALIREZA | SALMANI BEHZAD | KHODAVERDIZADEH SABER | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

ARDLQ2

Fuzzy RegressionQ2

Real Effective Exchange RateQ2

Savings RateQ2

Trade BalanceQ1

Abstract

The Trade Balance is one of the most important macroeconomic variables, and the macroeconomic strategic constraints for developing countries. The main target of this paper is study the effect of Savings Rate on the Trade Balance. According to the article target we used time series data of Iranian macroeconomic variables during 1960-2015 with application of Fuzzy Regression and auto regressive distributed lag approaches. The results of Fuzzy Regression approach show that Savings Rate and GDP per capita have a positive effect on the Trade Balance in the short term and long term. In the other hand the Real Effective Exchange Rate and degree of trade openness have a negative effect on the Trade Balance in long term. Also the results of auto regressive distributed lag approach show that Savings Rate, trade openness and GDP per capita have a positive effect on the Trade Balance and the Real Effective Exchange Rate has a negative effect on the Trade Balance. The other results are: error correction coefficient shows that 93 present of unbalanced short term adjusted to achieving long term balance. According to the results of research to reduce the trade deficit, an increase in gross domestic savings can be one of the important policy recommendations.

Cites

No record.

References

No record.

Cite

APA: Copy

Barghi Osgouei, Mohammad Mahdi, KAZEROONI, ALIREZA, SALMANI, BEHZAD, & KHODAVERDIZADEH, SABER. (2018). A Study on the Effect of Savings Rates on Trade Balance in Iranian Economy, Application of Fuzzy Regression and Auto Regressive Distributed Lag Approaches. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH, 8(31 ), 61-78. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/192210/en

Vancouver: Copy

Barghi Osgouei Mohammad Mahdi, KAZEROONI ALIREZA, SALMANI BEHZAD, KHODAVERDIZADEH SABER. A Study on the Effect of Savings Rates on Trade Balance in Iranian Economy, Application of Fuzzy Regression and Auto Regressive Distributed Lag Approaches. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH[Internet]. 2018;8(31 ):61-78. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/192210/en

IEEE: Copy

Mohammad Mahdi Barghi Osgouei, ALIREZA KAZEROONI, BEHZAD SALMANI, and SABER KHODAVERDIZADEH, “A Study on the Effect of Savings Rates on Trade Balance in Iranian Economy, Application of Fuzzy Regression and Auto Regressive Distributed Lag Approaches,” JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH, vol. 8, no. 31 , pp. 61–78, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/192210/en

Related Journal Papers