THE DETERMINANTS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN BASED ON BAYESIAN MODEL AVERAGING AND WEIGHTED AVERAGING LEAST SQUARE

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MEHRARA MOHSEN; REZAEI BARGOSHADI SADEQ

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Paper Information

Journal: JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH Year:2016 | Volume:6 | Issue:23 Page(s): 89-114

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Title

THE DETERMINANTS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN BASED ON BAYESIAN MODEL AVERAGING AND WEIGHTED AVERAGING LEAST SQUARE

Author(s)

MEHRARA MOHSEN | REZAEI BARGOSHADI SADEQ | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

ECONOMIC GROWTHQ2

BAYESIAN MODEL AVERAGING (BMA)Q1

WEIGHTED AVERAGING LEAST SQUARE (WALS)Q1

IRANIAN ECONOMYQ2

Abstract

This paper identifies determinants of ECONOMIC GROWTH in Iran, by using averaging methods and annual time series data from 1974 to 2012. The results indicate that ratio of oil revenue to GDP is the most important variable affecting ECONOMIC GROWTH. Also the second and third effective variables on growth are respectively ratio of imported capital and intermediate goods to GDP and labor force which lead to an increase in growth.Endogenous growth factors which are the factors contributing to formation of human capital, not possess a large role in growth process. Investments, especially government investment affects contrary to were expected. In fact, low quality, and productivity of investments and poor allocation reduced importance of investment’s quantity. The nature of Iran’s economy has not endogenous and dynamic features and predominantly, growth has been made by injecting of exogenous sources. Emphasis on formal and informal educational orientation in the quality of human capital instead of increasing in quantity of education is recommended.

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APA: Copy

MEHRARA, MOHSEN, & REZAEI BARGOSHADI, SADEQ. (2016). THE DETERMINANTS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN BASED ON BAYESIAN MODEL AVERAGING AND WEIGHTED AVERAGING LEAST SQUARE. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH, 6(23), 89-114. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/192256/en

Vancouver: Copy

MEHRARA MOHSEN, REZAEI BARGOSHADI SADEQ. THE DETERMINANTS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN BASED ON BAYESIAN MODEL AVERAGING AND WEIGHTED AVERAGING LEAST SQUARE. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH[Internet]. 2016;6(23):89-114. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/192256/en

IEEE: Copy

MOHSEN MEHRARA, and SADEQ REZAEI BARGOSHADI, “THE DETERMINANTS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN BASED ON BAYESIAN MODEL AVERAGING AND WEIGHTED AVERAGING LEAST SQUARE,” JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH, vol. 6, no. 23, pp. 89–114, 2016, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/192256/en

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