COMPARING MONTHLY DISCHARGE FORECASTING FOR KARKHEH RIVER BY USING TIME SERIES AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENT TRAITS

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TARAZKAR M.H.; SEDGHAMIZ A.

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Journal: Year:2008 | Volume:21 | Issue:3 (80 IN NATURAL RESOURCES) Page(s): 51-58

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Information Journal Paper

Title

COMPARING MONTHLY DISCHARGE FORECASTING FOR KARKHEH RIVER BY USING TIME SERIES AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENT TRAITS

Author(s)

TARAZKAR M.H. | SEDGHAMIZ A. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

FORECASTINGQ2

TIME SERIESQ3

ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKQ2

KARKHEH RIVERQ3

Abstract

Mentioning the importance of being aware of the rivers flow in future, in this research KARKHEH RIVER flow forecasted in two stations called Jelogir and Payepol by TIME SERIES method with Auto - regressive moving average technique and artificial Intelligent with ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK. Data set and information collected from these two hydrometric stations from1958: 10 2003: 9 to periods. Data set and information of 1958:10 to 1999:9 were used to compare the methods. Data set and information of 1999:10 to 2003:9 were used to study the FORECASTING power. To compare the FORECASTING error of various methods, MAE, RMSE and MAPE criterias were used. Obtained results showed that ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK has lower error due to TIME SERIES method in FORECASTING of monthly flow of Jelogir station. But comparing to change of the flow regime in Paypol station, TIME SERIES method had lower error in prediction of monthly flow in this station.

Cites

OPTIMUM OPERATIONAL MANAGEMENT FROM SURFACE WATER RESOURCES WITH AN APPLICATION OF DYNAMIC PROGRAMMING

References

کاربرد هوش مصنوعی در پیش بینی قیمت محصولات کشاورزی، مطالعه موردی: قیمت برنج در استان فارس

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APA: Copy

TARAZKAR, M.H., & SEDGHAMIZ, A.. (2008). COMPARING MONTHLY DISCHARGE FORECASTING FOR KARKHEH RIVER BY USING TIME SERIES AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENT TRAITS. PAJOUHESH-VA-SAZANDEGI, 21(3 (80 IN NATURAL RESOURCES)), 51-58. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/19385/en

Vancouver: Copy

TARAZKAR M.H., SEDGHAMIZ A.. COMPARING MONTHLY DISCHARGE FORECASTING FOR KARKHEH RIVER BY USING TIME SERIES AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENT TRAITS. PAJOUHESH-VA-SAZANDEGI[Internet]. 2008;21(3 (80 IN NATURAL RESOURCES)):51-58. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/19385/en

IEEE: Copy

M.H. TARAZKAR, and A. SEDGHAMIZ, “COMPARING MONTHLY DISCHARGE FORECASTING FOR KARKHEH RIVER BY USING TIME SERIES AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENT TRAITS,” PAJOUHESH-VA-SAZANDEGI, vol. 21, no. 3 (80 IN NATURAL RESOURCES), pp. 51–58, 2008, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/19385/en

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