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Information Journal Paper

Title

The comparison of neural network, ANFIS and AR model in expected return prediction and comparison of memetic and symbiotic organism search in constrained portfolio optimization

Pages

  109-119

Abstract

 In this paper, Symbiotic organism search and Memetic Algorithms are used to solve constrained mean-semi variance portfolio problem. Then AR model, Neural Network and ANFIS are compared to predict expected return of stocks. 23 active stocks from June 22, 2014 to Jan 21, 2016 are used as our sample. The results indicate that, Memetic Algorithm despite its longer time consuming has better performance than SOS algorithm. And ANFIS has more accurate prediction than others in predicting expected rate of return. Finally, we compare expected and real efficient frontier, the results indicate that, in lower risk, ANFIS has better prediction accuracy. So in that area, we can allocate our asset with higher certainty.

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    APA: Copy

    Rezaei, Sayyed Mahdi, BAGHJARI, MAHMOUD, & MAZAHERIFAR, POORIA. (2019). The comparison of neural network, ANFIS and AR model in expected return prediction and comparison of memetic and symbiotic organism search in constrained portfolio optimization. FINANCIAL KNOWLEDGE OF SECURITY ANALYSIS (FINANCIAL STUDIES), 12(43 ), 109-119. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/200093/en

    Vancouver: Copy

    Rezaei Sayyed Mahdi, BAGHJARI MAHMOUD, MAZAHERIFAR POORIA. The comparison of neural network, ANFIS and AR model in expected return prediction and comparison of memetic and symbiotic organism search in constrained portfolio optimization. FINANCIAL KNOWLEDGE OF SECURITY ANALYSIS (FINANCIAL STUDIES)[Internet]. 2019;12(43 ):109-119. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/200093/en

    IEEE: Copy

    Sayyed Mahdi Rezaei, MAHMOUD BAGHJARI, and POORIA MAZAHERIFAR, “The comparison of neural network, ANFIS and AR model in expected return prediction and comparison of memetic and symbiotic organism search in constrained portfolio optimization,” FINANCIAL KNOWLEDGE OF SECURITY ANALYSIS (FINANCIAL STUDIES), vol. 12, no. 43 , pp. 109–119, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/200093/en

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