Studying the concepts and basics of back-casting and comparing it with forecasting and visioning

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kazemi masoume; Ghorouneh Hasan; kazemi nafise; babakirad azam

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Journal: Journal of Management Future Research Year:2018 | Volume:29 | Issue:114 Page(s): 16-37

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Information Journal Paper

Title

Studying the concepts and basics of back-casting and comparing it with forecasting and visioning

Author(s)

kazemi masoume | Ghorouneh Hasan | kazemi nafise | babakirad azam | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

BackcastingQ1

ForecastingQ2

VisioningQ1

Abstract

One of the most important goals of future study is to develop knowledge and to conceive a complicated set of possible futures and, as a result, paving the ground to create and to expand the best guidelines to face with confronting challenges. As a result, active and provocative decision making is ideal under such circumstances. Due to its normative nature and its emphasis on desired futures and considering uncertain conditions, back-casting is one of the best approaches to confront such challenges. Present study is conducted to investigate this approach on growing future study field. In this research, back-casting emergence trend, types of back-casting, steps of back-casting and its functionality are explained and this approach is contemplated. Also, Forecasting and Visioning methods are briefly reviewed and, ultimately, back-casting is compared with Forecasting format as a contrary approach by considering a philosophical view against lack of justification, uncertainty against determinism and teleology against causality. It is also compared with Visioning to open a window to conceive differences between back-casting and other techniques as guidance in using such techniques in practice.

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APA: Copy

kazemi, masoume, Ghorouneh, Hasan, kazemi, nafise, & babakirad, azam. (2018). Studying the concepts and basics of back-casting and comparing it with forecasting and visioning. JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT FUTURES RESEARCH(JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT RESEARCH), 29(114 ), 16-37. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/204234/en

Vancouver: Copy

kazemi masoume, Ghorouneh Hasan, kazemi nafise, babakirad azam. Studying the concepts and basics of back-casting and comparing it with forecasting and visioning. JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT FUTURES RESEARCH(JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT RESEARCH)[Internet]. 2018;29(114 ):16-37. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/204234/en

IEEE: Copy

masoume kazemi, Hasan Ghorouneh, nafise kazemi, and azam babakirad, “Studying the concepts and basics of back-casting and comparing it with forecasting and visioning,” JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT FUTURES RESEARCH(JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT RESEARCH), vol. 29, no. 114 , pp. 16–37, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/204234/en

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