The Foresight of Tourism Industry in Golestan Province: The Scenarios and Suggested Solutions

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Aldaghi Zahra; EBRAHIMI ABDOLHAMID; Shojaee Samereh; Didekhani Hossein

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Journal: GEOGRAPHICAL JOURNAL OF TOURISM SPACE Year:2019 | Volume:8 | Issue:29 Page(s): 131-145

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Information Journal Paper

Title

The Foresight of Tourism Industry in Golestan Province: The Scenarios and Suggested Solutions

Author(s)

Aldaghi Zahra | EBRAHIMI ABDOLHAMID | Shojaee Samereh | Didekhani Hossein | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

foresighQ1

tourism industryQ2

scenariosQ1

Golestan provinceQ2

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to foresee the tourism industry in Golestan province using a scenario approach. The present study is an applied and exploratory research as far as the goal and nature of the research are considered. The statistical population of this research includes all theorizers and experimental experts. The samples of the study were chosen using non-probabilistic and snowball sampling. The tools which used for gathering data included a questionnaire and an interview with experts. The results of the first stage led to the identification of five factors and twenty four variables related to the future of the tourism industry in Golestan province. The results of the second stage of the research (the interaction matrix) based on the output of the Mick Mac application identified eight effective factors which were used in the questionnaire. Based on the two criteria of "uncertainty" and "degree of importance" four scenarios were identified and selected from the combination of two axes namely "tourism entrepreneurship" and "the culture of tourism acceptance ". Finally, some recommendations were proposed for each scenario.

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APA: Copy

Aldaghi, Zahra, EBRAHIMI, ABDOLHAMID, Shojaee, Samereh, & Didekhani, Hossein. (2019). The Foresight of Tourism Industry in Golestan Province: The Scenarios and Suggested Solutions. GEOGRAPHICAL JOURNAL OF TOURISM SPACE, 8(29 ), 131-145. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/214290/en

Vancouver: Copy

Aldaghi Zahra, EBRAHIMI ABDOLHAMID, Shojaee Samereh, Didekhani Hossein. The Foresight of Tourism Industry in Golestan Province: The Scenarios and Suggested Solutions. GEOGRAPHICAL JOURNAL OF TOURISM SPACE[Internet]. 2019;8(29 ):131-145. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/214290/en

IEEE: Copy

Zahra Aldaghi, ABDOLHAMID EBRAHIMI, Samereh Shojaee, and Hossein Didekhani, “The Foresight of Tourism Industry in Golestan Province: The Scenarios and Suggested Solutions,” GEOGRAPHICAL JOURNAL OF TOURISM SPACE, vol. 8, no. 29 , pp. 131–145, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/214290/en

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