IDENTIFYING THE KEY FACTORS INFLUENCING THE URBAN PROSPERITY WITH FUTURE STUDY APPROACH: THE CASE STUDY OF TABRIZ METROPOLIS

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AHADNEJAD MOHSEN; HAZERI SAFIEH; MESHKINI ABOLFAZL; PIRY ISA

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Journal: Journal of Urban Research and Planning Year:2018 | Volume:9 | Issue:32 Page(s): 15-30

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Information Journal Paper

Title

IDENTIFYING THE KEY FACTORS INFLUENCING THE URBAN PROSPERITY WITH FUTURE STUDY APPROACH: THE CASE STUDY OF TABRIZ METROPOLIS

Author(s)

AHADNEJAD MOHSEN | HAZERI SAFIEH | MESHKINI ABOLFAZL | PIRY ISA | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

URBAN PROSPERITYQ1

FORESIGHTQ1

TABRIZQ2

CROSS-IMPACT ANALYSISQ1

MICMACQ1

Abstract

The present study uses a CROSS-IMPACT ANALYSIS technique, one of the most common and accepted predictive methods, by using the Mick-Mac software to analyze the URBAN PROSPERITY components of the metropolitan metropolis of TABRIZ. For this purpose, firstly, all the factors involved in urban development and prosperity were analyzed and using the Delphi method, 78 components in five areas (productivity, infrastructure, quality of life, Equity and inclusion, and environmental sustainability) were extracted as URBAN PROSPERITY indicators. Cross-impact/ structural analysis was used to analyze the data using MICMAC software application. The results of the research indicate TABRIZ metropolis is a system instability that most variables are scattered around the diagonal axis, and on the Scattered page, the five categories of factors (Effective factor, Two-sided factor, Regulation factor, Effectiveness factor, Independent factor) are identifiable. Finally, of the 78 factors mentioned after checking the amount and the degree of effectiveness the of factors in connection to each other and on the future status of the prosperity metropolis of TABRIZ with direct and indirect methods, of the following 15 key factors (Unemployment rate, Literacy rate, Durable housing, Public transport capacity, Poverty, Gini coefficient, Women's Employment, cultural centers, Maternal mortality, air pollution, Infant mortality, Marginalization Youth employment, Public Schools, Industry) that having the greatest role in the future status of prosperity metropolis of TABRIZ were selected.

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APA: Copy

AHADNEJAD, MOHSEN, HAZERI, SAFIEH, MESHKINI, ABOLFAZL, & PIRY, ISA. (2018). IDENTIFYING THE KEY FACTORS INFLUENCING THE URBAN PROSPERITY WITH FUTURE STUDY APPROACH: THE CASE STUDY OF TABRIZ METROPOLIS. RESEARCH AND URBAN PLANNING, 9(32 ), 15-30. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/220312/en

Vancouver: Copy

AHADNEJAD MOHSEN, HAZERI SAFIEH, MESHKINI ABOLFAZL, PIRY ISA. IDENTIFYING THE KEY FACTORS INFLUENCING THE URBAN PROSPERITY WITH FUTURE STUDY APPROACH: THE CASE STUDY OF TABRIZ METROPOLIS. RESEARCH AND URBAN PLANNING[Internet]. 2018;9(32 ):15-30. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/220312/en

IEEE: Copy

MOHSEN AHADNEJAD, SAFIEH HAZERI, ABOLFAZL MESHKINI, and ISA PIRY, “IDENTIFYING THE KEY FACTORS INFLUENCING THE URBAN PROSPERITY WITH FUTURE STUDY APPROACH: THE CASE STUDY OF TABRIZ METROPOLIS,” RESEARCH AND URBAN PLANNING, vol. 9, no. 32 , pp. 15–30, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/220312/en

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