SEASONAL RAINFALL FORECASTING BASED ON SYNOPTICAL PATTERN AND SEA LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT (DSLP) USING STATISTICAL MODELS

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FALLAH GHALHARI GH.A.; MOUSAVI BYGI M.; HABIBI NOWKHANDAN M.

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Paper Information

Journal: Agricultural Sciences and Technology Year:2007 | Volume:21 | Issue:2 (SPECIAL ISSUE IN SOIL, WATER AND AIR) Page(s): 95-104

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Information Journal Paper

Title

SEASONAL RAINFALL FORECASTING BASED ON SYNOPTICAL PATTERN AND SEA LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT (DSLP) USING STATISTICAL MODELS

Author(s)

FALLAH GHALHARI GH.A. | MOUSAVI BYGI M. | HABIBI NOWKHANDAN M. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

RAINFALLQ3

DIGITIZE ELEVATION MODELSQ3

METEOROLOGICAL SIGNALSQ3

PRESSURE CHANGESQ3

SEASONAL RAINFALLQ3

Abstract

In order to examine the possibility of statistical models for seasonal RAINFALL forecasting based on synoptical pattern, the Khorassan provinces were selected as a studied area. To achieve this goal, data of 37 RAINFALL stations were used and the RUN TEST was performed to find out if the RAINFALL data were randomly collected. In the second stage, mean local time series of RAINFALL was calculated in Arc GIS software. These data were used to model the relation RAINFALL and sea level pressure gradient (SLP). Results showed that statistical models can predict the amount of RAINFALL of next season. Among the output of different models, the results of stepwise and backward models were much better than others.

Cites

THE APPLICATION OF FUZZY LOGIC AND MULTIPLE REGRESSIONS IN LONG TERM RAINFALL PREDICTION IN KHORASAN RAZAVI PROVINCE

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APA: Copy

FALLAH GHALHARI, GH.A., MOUSAVI BYGI, M., & HABIBI NOWKHANDAN, M.. (2007). SEASONAL RAINFALL FORECASTING BASED ON SYNOPTICAL PATTERN AND SEA LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT (DSLP) USING STATISTICAL MODELS. AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND TECHNOLOGY, 21(2 (SPECIAL ISSUE IN SOIL, WATER AND AIR)), 95-104. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/22488/en

Vancouver: Copy

FALLAH GHALHARI GH.A., MOUSAVI BYGI M., HABIBI NOWKHANDAN M.. SEASONAL RAINFALL FORECASTING BASED ON SYNOPTICAL PATTERN AND SEA LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT (DSLP) USING STATISTICAL MODELS. AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND TECHNOLOGY[Internet]. 2007;21(2 (SPECIAL ISSUE IN SOIL, WATER AND AIR)):95-104. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/22488/en

IEEE: Copy

GH.A. FALLAH GHALHARI, M. MOUSAVI BYGI, and M. HABIBI NOWKHANDAN, “SEASONAL RAINFALL FORECASTING BASED ON SYNOPTICAL PATTERN AND SEA LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT (DSLP) USING STATISTICAL MODELS,” AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND TECHNOLOGY, vol. 21, no. 2 (SPECIAL ISSUE IN SOIL, WATER AND AIR), pp. 95–104, 2007, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/22488/en

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