ANALYSIS OF OIL PRICE SHOCKS EFFECTS ON ECONOMIC ACTIVITY AND MONETARY POLICY IN IRAN (1990-2013): THE SVAR APPROCH

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RAJABI MOSTAFA; KARIMI MOHADESE

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Journal: JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMICS STUDIES IN IRAN Year:2017 | Volume:5 | Issue:20 Page(s): 253-274

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Title

ANALYSIS OF OIL PRICE SHOCKS EFFECTS ON ECONOMIC ACTIVITY AND MONETARY POLICY IN IRAN (1990-2013): THE SVAR APPROCH

Author(s)

RAJABI MOSTAFA | KARIMI MOHADESE | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

OIL PRICE SHOCKSQ2

MONETARY POLICYQ2

ECONOMIC ACTIVITIESQ1

STRUCTURAL VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELQ2

Abstract

With respect to the role of the uncertaity of oil price in the Iran's economy, this study analyzing the response of economic activity and MONETARY POLICY to oil shocks on the Iran's economy by using STRUCTURAL VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE MODEL (SVAR) and impulse response functions techniques in Iran for 1990-2014 periods. The results indicate that a shock in oil price uncertainty and increase fluctuations in oil prices caused adverse reactions in economic and industrial growth. Also results indicate that an oil price uncertainty and increase fluctuation in oil prices cause the direct reaction from inflation and liquidity as indicators of MONETARY POLICY.In other words, the long-term effects there are an inverse relationship between oil price uncertainty and increase fluctuations with economic growth and industrial growth, as an indicator of economic activity. Also, there is a direct relationship between uncertainty and fluctuation of oil price (in total long-term effects), price index and monetary aggregates.

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APA: Copy

RAJABI, MOSTAFA, & KARIMI, MOHADESE. (2017). ANALYSIS OF OIL PRICE SHOCKS EFFECTS ON ECONOMIC ACTIVITY AND MONETARY POLICY IN IRAN (1990-2013): THE SVAR APPROCH. JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMICS STUDIES IN IRAN, 5(20 ), 253-274. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/226525/en

Vancouver: Copy

RAJABI MOSTAFA, KARIMI MOHADESE. ANALYSIS OF OIL PRICE SHOCKS EFFECTS ON ECONOMIC ACTIVITY AND MONETARY POLICY IN IRAN (1990-2013): THE SVAR APPROCH. JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMICS STUDIES IN IRAN[Internet]. 2017;5(20 ):253-274. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/226525/en

IEEE: Copy

MOSTAFA RAJABI, and MOHADESE KARIMI, “ANALYSIS OF OIL PRICE SHOCKS EFFECTS ON ECONOMIC ACTIVITY AND MONETARY POLICY IN IRAN (1990-2013): THE SVAR APPROCH,” JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMICS STUDIES IN IRAN, vol. 5, no. 20 , pp. 253–274, 2017, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/226525/en

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