The Role of Transpiring Commercial Cycles in the Overdue Claims of the Banks of the Country Using the Intermediary Filters

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Esmaeili Babak

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Journal: Financial Economics Year:2018 | Volume:12 | Issue:44 Page(s): 161-188

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Title

The Role of Transpiring Commercial Cycles in the Overdue Claims of the Banks of the Country Using the Intermediary Filters

Author(s)

Esmaeili Babak | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Commercial cycleQ1

Recession and growthQ1

Banking system overdue claimsQ1

Subjective analysisQ1

Self corrective modelQ1

Abstract

According to the existing views regarding the Commercial cycles, there are different theories elaborating the reasons of creation these cycles. Some believe that these cycles are formed as a result of delayed reaction of the economy to the exogenous shocks; however, others believe that economy has its own endogenous powers which result in formation of the cycles even needless of the exogenous shocks. This study seeks the role of Commercial cycles in increasing the overdue claims of Iran’ s banks within the time period of 1993 to 2012. To do so, it has been preceded to exploite the occured Commercial cycles in Iran’ s economy using the intermediary filters. In the second step, the most determining factors on the overdue claims of the banking system were recognized using the subjective explorative analytic method. Finally, the effect of Commercial cycles in changing the Banking system overdue claims was investigated. The findings indicate that the overdue claims of the banking system tend to behave in cycles meaning to decline during economy boom and to rise during economic recession. While in economic growth, the families and enterprises benefit from enough flow of income and as a result can afford repaying the debts and fulfilling their commitments which result in lower volumes of overdue claims.

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APA: Copy

Esmaeili, Babak. (2018). The Role of Transpiring Commercial Cycles in the Overdue Claims of the Banks of the Country Using the Intermediary Filters. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS (FINANCIAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT), 12(44 ), 161-188. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/229162/en

Vancouver: Copy

Esmaeili Babak. The Role of Transpiring Commercial Cycles in the Overdue Claims of the Banks of the Country Using the Intermediary Filters. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS (FINANCIAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT)[Internet]. 2018;12(44 ):161-188. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/229162/en

IEEE: Copy

Babak Esmaeili, “The Role of Transpiring Commercial Cycles in the Overdue Claims of the Banks of the Country Using the Intermediary Filters,” JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS (FINANCIAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT), vol. 12, no. 44 , pp. 161–188, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/229162/en

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