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Information Journal Paper

Title

Data Mining Algorithm in Macro Variable Effects on Stock Markets in Iran

Pages

  283-309

Abstract

 Most stock market studies in Iranian economy have been done in econometrics format, which have been useful for policy makers; but Data mining algorithms provide double abilities to implement guidance policies. Regarding the importance of stock market in the country, Data mining algorithms have been employed to investigate the most important features on stock market rates. Monthly data (2005-2011) extracted and after preprocessing and data cleansing, ten attribute weighting algorithms (AWA) applied. The results showed three features (inflation rate, GDP and trade balance) were the most important ones selected by 80% of AWA. GDP gained the highest weight (more than 90%) and tree induction algorithms used the same feature (with 96. 5% precision) to differentiate between the stock rate classes. The results confirmed a positive relationship between GDP, real value of money, inflation rate, trade balance and real exchange rate with stock prices while government’ s real budget deficit, USA inflation rate and one-year interests rate revealed negative relations; compatible with the theoretical model. The results that reported for the first time can open up new vistas for investors and policy makers.

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    APA: Copy

    EBRAHIMI, MEHRZAD. (2020). Data Mining Algorithm in Macro Variable Effects on Stock Markets in Iran. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS (FINANCIAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT), 13(49 ), 283-309. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/229287/en

    Vancouver: Copy

    EBRAHIMI MEHRZAD. Data Mining Algorithm in Macro Variable Effects on Stock Markets in Iran. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS (FINANCIAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT)[Internet]. 2020;13(49 ):283-309. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/229287/en

    IEEE: Copy

    MEHRZAD EBRAHIMI, “Data Mining Algorithm in Macro Variable Effects on Stock Markets in Iran,” JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS (FINANCIAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT), vol. 13, no. 49 , pp. 283–309, 2020, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/229287/en

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