THE EFFECT OF UNCERTAINTY OF OIL REVENUE ON EXCHANGE RATE IN IRAN

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MAHMOD KHATAEE; SAYFIPOUR ROYA

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Journal: Financial Economics Year:2008 | Volume:1 | Issue:2 Page(s): 7-22

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Title

THE EFFECT OF UNCERTAINTY OF OIL REVENUE ON EXCHANGE RATE IN IRAN

Author(s)

MAHMOD KHATAEE | SAYFIPOUR ROYA | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

UNCERTAINTYQ2

OIL REVENUEQ2

EXCHANGE RATEQ2

GARCHQ2

Abstract

Oil revenue is the major source of foreign exchange revenues in Iran economy. Since the oil sector managed by the government, the EXCHANGE RATE in Iran is highly affected by the government decision. Also OIL REVENUE is a function of oil price and its world demand. So the Iranian economy was fluctuated by UNCERTAINTY in the amount of OIL REVENUE. Consequently UNCERTAINTY should have the major role in determining EXCHANGE RATE.The main aim of this article is to analyses main factors of determining EXCHANGE RATE including UNCERTAINTY in the market. For this purpose, future equilibrium EXCHANGE RATE is estimated based on the assumptions of two scenarios including UNCERTAINTY factors. Comparing the equilibrium and controlled EXCHANGE RATE shows that there is a high deviation between current rate and equilibrium EXCHANGE RATE which will create a sharp increase of EXCHANGE RATE in the future.

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APA: Copy

MAHMOD, KHATAEE, & SAYFIPOUR, ROYA. (2008). THE EFFECT OF UNCERTAINTY OF OIL REVENUE ON EXCHANGE RATE IN IRAN. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS (FINANCIAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT), 1(2), 7-22. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/229296/en

Vancouver: Copy

MAHMOD KHATAEE, SAYFIPOUR ROYA. THE EFFECT OF UNCERTAINTY OF OIL REVENUE ON EXCHANGE RATE IN IRAN. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS (FINANCIAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT)[Internet]. 2008;1(2):7-22. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/229296/en

IEEE: Copy

KHATAEE MAHMOD, and ROYA SAYFIPOUR, “THE EFFECT OF UNCERTAINTY OF OIL REVENUE ON EXCHANGE RATE IN IRAN,” JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS (FINANCIAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT), vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 7–22, 2008, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/229296/en

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