MODELING TEHRAN LAND USE CHANGES BY USING THE MOLAND MODEL

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DADASHPOUR H.; KHEIRODIN R.; YAGHOBKHANI M.; CHAMANI B.

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Journal: Journal of Regional Planning Year:2015 | Volume:4 | Issue:16 Page(s): 49-64

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Information Journal Paper

Title

MODELING TEHRAN LAND USE CHANGES BY USING THE MOLAND MODEL

Author(s)

DADASHPOUR H. | KHEIRODIN R. | YAGHOBKHANI M. | CHAMANI B. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

LAND USE CHANGE MODELINGQ2

CELLULAR AUTOMATAQ2

TEHRAN METROPOLISQ2

MOLAND MODELQ2

Abstract

In cities, land is considered as scarce and precious facility. Thus, any unplanned growth in urban areas or any changes in land use has significant effect on the people business and more generally, the urban morphology. Two main aims of this planning study are forecasting the effectiveness as well as the indirect consequences of changing land use. Modeling and prediction of any changes in urban land use to understand urban dynamics is effective and can be used as an efficient tool for planners to predict the consequences of urban policies. The main goal of this research refers to analyze and modeling any changes in land use of TEHRAN METROPOLIS by using the MOLAND MODEL. Socio-economic, biophysical and management factors are identified as three main drivers of land use change in urban areas. At first, MOLAND MODEL was simulating to consider the land use change based on socio-economic data such as population and employment. Then by taking into account biophysical and management factors, the CELLULAR AUTOMATA (CA) model was used to satisfy the balance between land use scenario demands and supply. Consequently, the modeling result after increasing its validation has high capability to predict land use changes in a period of 20 years. The main changes predicted in the South, the South-west and the West of TEHRAN METROPOLIS by changing barren land and agricultural land to residential and industrial use.

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APA: Copy

DADASHPOUR, H., KHEIRODIN, R., YAGHOBKHANI, M., & CHAMANI, B.. (2015). MODELING TEHRAN LAND USE CHANGES BY USING THE MOLAND MODEL. JOURNAL OF REGIONAL PLANNING, 4(16), 49-64. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/230430/en

Vancouver: Copy

DADASHPOUR H., KHEIRODIN R., YAGHOBKHANI M., CHAMANI B.. MODELING TEHRAN LAND USE CHANGES BY USING THE MOLAND MODEL. JOURNAL OF REGIONAL PLANNING[Internet]. 2015;4(16):49-64. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/230430/en

IEEE: Copy

H. DADASHPOUR, R. KHEIRODIN, M. YAGHOBKHANI, and B. CHAMANI, “MODELING TEHRAN LAND USE CHANGES BY USING THE MOLAND MODEL,” JOURNAL OF REGIONAL PLANNING, vol. 4, no. 16, pp. 49–64, 2015, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/230430/en

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