THE SUPPLY OF NON-OIL EXPORT IN IRAN: APPLYING KALMAN FILTER APPROACH

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PAYTAKHTI OSKOOE SEYYED ALI; SHAFEI EHSAN; RAMEZANI REZA

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Paper Information

Journal: JOURNAL OF THE MARCO AND STRATEGIC POLICIES Year:2014 | Volume:1 | Issue:4 Page(s): 69-86

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Title

THE SUPPLY OF NON-OIL EXPORT IN IRAN: APPLYING KALMAN FILTER APPROACH

Author(s)

PAYTAKHTI OSKOOE SEYYED ALI | SHAFEI EHSAN | RAMEZANI REZA | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

NON-OIL EXPORTSQ2

KALMAN FILTERQ2

PRODUCTION ELASTICITYQ2

PRICE ELASTICITYQ2

EXCHANGE RATE ELASTICITYQ2

Abstract

This paper adopts KALMAN FILTER approach to investigate factors affecting the supply of Iran’s NON-OIL EXPORTS during the period 1981-2011. This approach examines the structural instability in the coefficients of the models and allows for parameters change over time. In view of the structure of Iran’s NON-OIL EXPORTS, the empirical results imply that the elasticity of Iran’s NON-OIL EXPORTS supply to domestic product, price and exchange rate during the war years were very unstable. With the end of the war and the relative stability of the economy, the elasticities show little fluctuations. In sum, the elasticity of Iran’s NON-OIL EXPORTS supply to domestic product, and exchange rate were positive, however the elasticity of Iran’s NON-OIL EXPORTS supply to price was negative. This means that increasing in domestic product and exchange rate has positive impact on the Iran’s NON-OIL EXPORTS supply. On the other hand, inflation influences negatively the Iran’s NON-OIL EXPORTS supply.

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APA: Copy

PAYTAKHTI OSKOOE, SEYYED ALI, SHAFEI, EHSAN, & RAMEZANI, REZA. (2014). THE SUPPLY OF NON-OIL EXPORT IN IRAN: APPLYING KALMAN FILTER APPROACH. JOURNAL OF THE MARCO AND STRATEGIC POLICIES, 1(4), 69-86. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/244290/en

Vancouver: Copy

PAYTAKHTI OSKOOE SEYYED ALI, SHAFEI EHSAN, RAMEZANI REZA. THE SUPPLY OF NON-OIL EXPORT IN IRAN: APPLYING KALMAN FILTER APPROACH. JOURNAL OF THE MARCO AND STRATEGIC POLICIES[Internet]. 2014;1(4):69-86. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/244290/en

IEEE: Copy

SEYYED ALI PAYTAKHTI OSKOOE, EHSAN SHAFEI, and REZA RAMEZANI, “THE SUPPLY OF NON-OIL EXPORT IN IRAN: APPLYING KALMAN FILTER APPROACH,” JOURNAL OF THE MARCO AND STRATEGIC POLICIES, vol. 1, no. 4, pp. 69–86, 2014, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/244290/en

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