IMPACT OF ECONOMIC GROWTH UNCERTAINTY ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN: SOME EVIDENCE FROM GARCH MODELS

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HEIDARI HASAN; PARVIN SOHEILA; SHAKERI ABBAS; FEIZY IANGAJEH SOLEIMAN

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Journal: Iranian Journal of Economic Research Year:2010 | Volume:14 | Issue:43 Page(s): 189-210

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Information Journal Paper

Title

IMPACT OF ECONOMIC GROWTH UNCERTAINTY ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN: SOME EVIDENCE FROM GARCH MODELS

Author(s)

HEIDARI HASAN | PARVIN SOHEILA | SHAKERI ABBAS | FEIZY IANGAJEH SOLEIMAN | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

TRADE OPENNESSQ3

OUTPUT GROWTHQ2

INFLATIONQ2

EMPLOYMENT GROWTHQ2

IMPULSE RESPONSEQ2

Abstract

Using a vector autoregressive (VAR) model and an IMPULSE RESPONSE analysis, this paper investigates the impact of TRADE OPENNESS on main macroeconomic variables including growth of output, INFLATION, and employment for the period 1961-2007 in Iran. More specifically, we intend to study how an increase in the degree of openness affects these main macroeconomic variables. The results of IMPULSE RESPONSE functions show that in the short run the TRADE OPENNESS increases the OUTPUT GROWTH but decreases the INFLATION rate. However, the short-run impact of openness on the growth of employment is negative. Moreover, the results show that a one unit change in the standard error of TRADE OPENNESS has no long-run effect on the OUTPUT GROWTH, the INFLATION and the growth of employment.

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APA: Copy

HEIDARI, HASAN, PARVIN, SOHEILA, SHAKERI, ABBAS, & FEIZY IANGAJEH, SOLEIMAN. (2010). IMPACT OF ECONOMIC GROWTH UNCERTAINTY ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN: SOME EVIDENCE FROM GARCH MODELS. IRANIAN ECONOMIC RESEARCH, 14(43), 189-210. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/2497/en

Vancouver: Copy

HEIDARI HASAN, PARVIN SOHEILA, SHAKERI ABBAS, FEIZY IANGAJEH SOLEIMAN. IMPACT OF ECONOMIC GROWTH UNCERTAINTY ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN: SOME EVIDENCE FROM GARCH MODELS. IRANIAN ECONOMIC RESEARCH[Internet]. 2010;14(43):189-210. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/2497/en

IEEE: Copy

HASAN HEIDARI, SOHEILA PARVIN, ABBAS SHAKERI, and SOLEIMAN FEIZY IANGAJEH, “IMPACT OF ECONOMIC GROWTH UNCERTAINTY ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN: SOME EVIDENCE FROM GARCH MODELS,” IRANIAN ECONOMIC RESEARCH, vol. 14, no. 43, pp. 189–210, 2010, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/2497/en

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