FORECASTING GASOLINE PRICE USING GMDH NEURAL NETWORK BASED ON GA

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ABRISHAMI H.; MOEINI ALI; MEHRARA MOHSEN; AHRARI M.; SOLEYMANIKIA F.

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Journal: Iranian Journal of Economic Research Year:2008 | Volume:12 | Issue:36 Page(s): 37-58

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Title

FORECASTING GASOLINE PRICE USING GMDH NEURAL NETWORK BASED ON GA

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Keywords

GASOLINE PRICEQ3

GMDH NEURAL NETWORKQ2

DEDUCTIVE METHODQ2

TECHNICAL ANALYSISQ2

FORECASTINGQ2

Abstract

In this paper, we use GMDH NEURAL NETWORK based on Genetic Algorithm to model and forecast the price of gasoline using two approaches; DEDUCTIVE METHOD and TECHNICAL ANALYSIS. The results of DEDUCTIVE METHOD indicate that the accuracy of prediction could reach up to 96% and in TECHNICAL ANALYSIS could reach up to 99%. Furthermore the comparison reveals that the GMDH NEURAL NETWORKs model consistently outperforms the regression model used in this study.

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APA: Copy

ABRISHAMI, H., MOEINI, ALI, MEHRARA, MOHSEN, AHRARI, M., & SOLEYMANIKIA, F.. (2008). FORECASTING GASOLINE PRICE USING GMDH NEURAL NETWORK BASED ON GA. IRANIAN ECONOMIC RESEARCH, 12(36), 37-58. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/2522/en

Vancouver: Copy

ABRISHAMI H., MOEINI ALI, MEHRARA MOHSEN, AHRARI M., SOLEYMANIKIA F.. FORECASTING GASOLINE PRICE USING GMDH NEURAL NETWORK BASED ON GA. IRANIAN ECONOMIC RESEARCH[Internet]. 2008;12(36):37-58. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/2522/en

IEEE: Copy

H. ABRISHAMI, ALI MOEINI, MOHSEN MEHRARA, M. AHRARI, and F. SOLEYMANIKIA, “FORECASTING GASOLINE PRICE USING GMDH NEURAL NETWORK BASED ON GA,” IRANIAN ECONOMIC RESEARCH, vol. 12, no. 36, pp. 37–58, 2008, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/2522/en

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