EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGES ON SURFACE RUNOFF CHANGES (CASE STUDY: URMIA LAKE BASIN)

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GOUDARZI MASOUD; SALAHI BOROUMAND; HOSSEINI SEYED ASAD

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Journal: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF ECOHYDROLOGY Year:2015 | Volume:2 | Issue:2 Page(s): 175-189

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Title

EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGES ON SURFACE RUNOFF CHANGES (CASE STUDY: URMIA LAKE BASIN)

Author(s)

GOUDARZI MASOUD | SALAHI BOROUMAND | HOSSEINI SEYED ASAD | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

CLIMATE CHANGEQ3

IHACRESQ2

LARS- WGQ4

RAINFALL-RUNOFFQ2

URMIA LAKE BASINQ2

Abstract

CLIMATE CHANGE is one of the most important problems in the present century. So, assessing and prediction of future changes is important on water resources and so important for economics and socio-economic consequences. The purpose of this research is assessing the effects of CLIMATE CHANGE on surface runoff volumes under the scenarios: A1B, A2 and B1 using HadCM3 general circulation model and IHACRES RAINFALL-RUNOFF model for three time periods (2011-2030, 2046-2065 and 2080-2099). LARS-WG downscaling model was used to bridge global data to sits, data sets. The results of the evaluation of observed and simulation data using statistical and measurement error indices show that there is no difference between the simulated and the observed values on the critical error 0.5%. The results of climate model show that the average temperature of basin will be increased between 0.55 to 3.15oC, and rainfall reduces amount 11.94% in the basin. Performance analysis of! HACRES rainfall- runoff model also showed good accuracy of the model to simulate the runoff changes in basin. The results of surface runoff changes showed that the long-term average of annual runoff is reduced in 2020s, 2050s and 2080s than the base period, respectively 5.4, 22.35 and 64.5 percent.

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APA: Copy

GOUDARZI, MASOUD, SALAHI, BOROUMAND, & HOSSEINI, SEYED ASAD. (2015). EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGES ON SURFACE RUNOFF CHANGES (CASE STUDY: URMIA LAKE BASIN). IRANIAN JOURNAL OF ECOHYDROLOGY, 2(2), 175-189. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/253970/en

Vancouver: Copy

GOUDARZI MASOUD, SALAHI BOROUMAND, HOSSEINI SEYED ASAD. EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGES ON SURFACE RUNOFF CHANGES (CASE STUDY: URMIA LAKE BASIN). IRANIAN JOURNAL OF ECOHYDROLOGY[Internet]. 2015;2(2):175-189. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/253970/en

IEEE: Copy

MASOUD GOUDARZI, BOROUMAND SALAHI, and SEYED ASAD HOSSEINI, “EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGES ON SURFACE RUNOFF CHANGES (CASE STUDY: URMIA LAKE BASIN),” IRANIAN JOURNAL OF ECOHYDROLOGY, vol. 2, no. 2, pp. 175–189, 2015, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/253970/en

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