Modeling for Predicting Domestic Demands for Recreational Tourism in Tehran

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FARZIN MOHAMMAD REZA; AFSAR AMIR; Dabir Alireza; ZANDI EBTEHAL

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Journal: Journal of Social Studies in Tourism Year:2019 | Volume:6 | Issue:12 Page(s): 121-144

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Title

Modeling for Predicting Domestic Demands for Recreational Tourism in Tehran

Author(s)

FARZIN MOHAMMAD REZA | AFSAR AMIR | Dabir Alireza | ZANDI EBTEHAL | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

regressionQ2

Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)Q2

Support Vector Regression (SVR) algorithmQ1

recreational tourismQ1

predictionQ1

TehranQ1

Abstract

recreational tourism is an important form of domestic tourism in Tehran, based on the statistics of the National Center of Statistics and the views of the experts. This paper tried to propose models for predicting effective variables on predicting domestic demands for recreational tourism in Tehran. The study used the monthly information between 2001 and 2015. The independent variable was the number of domestic recreational tourists in Tehran, and the dependent variables were selected based on Delphi and Fuzzy DEMATEL techniques. The model framework was a combination of regression, the fuzzy neural network, and SVR algorithm. The combinations of these methods helped measure prediction errors and compare methods. Results showed that the proposed hybrid approach of regression and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) could have a better prediction compared to other methods for predicting domestic recreational tourism.

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APA: Copy

FARZIN, MOHAMMAD REZA, AFSAR, AMIR, Dabir, Alireza, & ZANDI, EBTEHAL. (2019). Modeling for Predicting Domestic Demands for Recreational Tourism in Tehran. JOURNAL OF SOCIAL STUDIED IN TOURISM, 6(12 ), 121-144. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/259339/en

Vancouver: Copy

FARZIN MOHAMMAD REZA, AFSAR AMIR, Dabir Alireza, ZANDI EBTEHAL. Modeling for Predicting Domestic Demands for Recreational Tourism in Tehran. JOURNAL OF SOCIAL STUDIED IN TOURISM[Internet]. 2019;6(12 ):121-144. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/259339/en

IEEE: Copy

MOHAMMAD REZA FARZIN, AMIR AFSAR, Alireza Dabir, and EBTEHAL ZANDI, “Modeling for Predicting Domestic Demands for Recreational Tourism in Tehran,” JOURNAL OF SOCIAL STUDIED IN TOURISM, vol. 6, no. 12 , pp. 121–144, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/259339/en

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