THE MAIN DETERMINANTS OF BUSINESS CYCLES IN IRANIAN ECONOMY: A STRUCTURAL VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE MODEL

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KHOSHNOUD ZAHRA; ESFANDIARI MARZIEH

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Journal: Journal of Monetary and Banking Research Year:2015 | Volume:8 | Issue:25 Page(s): 401-427

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Title

THE MAIN DETERMINANTS OF BUSINESS CYCLES IN IRANIAN ECONOMY: A STRUCTURAL VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE MODEL

Author(s)

KHOSHNOUD ZAHRA | ESFANDIARI MARZIEH | Issue Writer Certificate

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Abstract

Iranian economy as a state–petroleum economy with inflation and budget deficit challenges, has experienced both large and small business cycles in the last three decades. Obviously, studying the significant causes of these cycles can help the policy makers to design more accurate and efficient plans and policies. In this paper, we use a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model to identify the effective causes of business cycles in Iran. The results show that between 1990 and 2012, budget deficit growth and real exchange rate growth are the most important causes of business cycles in Iran.

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APA: Copy

KHOSHNOUD, ZAHRA, & ESFANDIARI, MARZIEH. (2015). THE MAIN DETERMINANTS OF BUSINESS CYCLES IN IRANIAN ECONOMY: A STRUCTURAL VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE MODEL. JOURNAL OF MONETARY AND BANKING RESEARCHES, 8(25 ), 401-427. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/263699/en

Vancouver: Copy

KHOSHNOUD ZAHRA, ESFANDIARI MARZIEH. THE MAIN DETERMINANTS OF BUSINESS CYCLES IN IRANIAN ECONOMY: A STRUCTURAL VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE MODEL. JOURNAL OF MONETARY AND BANKING RESEARCHES[Internet]. 2015;8(25 ):401-427. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/263699/en

IEEE: Copy

ZAHRA KHOSHNOUD, and MARZIEH ESFANDIARI, “THE MAIN DETERMINANTS OF BUSINESS CYCLES IN IRANIAN ECONOMY: A STRUCTURAL VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE MODEL,” JOURNAL OF MONETARY AND BANKING RESEARCHES, vol. 8, no. 25 , pp. 401–427, 2015, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/263699/en

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