USING AN ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM DEVELOPED FOR THE WRF MODEL TO PREDICT SURFACE WIND OVER PERSIAN GULF

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GHADER SARMAD; YAZEGI DANIEL; Soltanpour Mohsen; Nemati Mohammad Hossein

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Journal: HYDROPHYSICS Year:2016 | Volume:1 | Issue:1 Page(s): 41-54

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Information Journal Paper

Title

USING AN ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM DEVELOPED FOR THE WRF MODEL TO PREDICT SURFACE WIND OVER PERSIAN GULF

Author(s)

GHADER SARMAD | YAZEGI DANIEL | Soltanpour Mohsen | Nemati Mohammad Hossein | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

ENSEMBLE PREDICTIONQ2

WIND FIELDQ1

WRF MODELQ1

PERSIAN GULFQ2

Abstract

This work is devoted to present the results of an ENSEMBLE PREDICTION system developed for the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to predict surface wind over the PERSIAN GULF. To construct the ensemble members a combination of perturbed initial condition (using Monte Carlo method) and model perturbations (using multi physical parameterization schemes) is employed. Here, an ENSEMBLE PREDICTION system with 15 members (three physical parameterization schemes and five initial condition perturbations for each one) is used to generate the surface wind and other meteorological field predictions over the PERSIAN GULF. Assessment of the ensemble mean against the observational in situ and satellite (e.g., ASCAT and QuikSCAT) data indicates promising performance of the ENSEMBLE PREDICTION system over the deterministic predictions.

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APA: Copy

GHADER, SARMAD, YAZEGI, DANIEL, Soltanpour, Mohsen, & Nemati, Mohammad Hossein. (2016). USING AN ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM DEVELOPED FOR THE WRF MODEL TO PREDICT SURFACE WIND OVER PERSIAN GULF. HYDROPHYSICS, 1(1 ), 41-54. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/264847/en

Vancouver: Copy

GHADER SARMAD, YAZEGI DANIEL, Soltanpour Mohsen, Nemati Mohammad Hossein. USING AN ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM DEVELOPED FOR THE WRF MODEL TO PREDICT SURFACE WIND OVER PERSIAN GULF. HYDROPHYSICS[Internet]. 2016;1(1 ):41-54. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/264847/en

IEEE: Copy

SARMAD GHADER, DANIEL YAZEGI, Mohsen Soltanpour, and Mohammad Hossein Nemati, “USING AN ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM DEVELOPED FOR THE WRF MODEL TO PREDICT SURFACE WIND OVER PERSIAN GULF,” HYDROPHYSICS, vol. 1, no. 1 , pp. 41–54, 2016, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/264847/en

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