THE EFFECT OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN BAYESIAN MODEL AVERAGING

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MEHRARA MOHSEN; REZAEI BARGOSHADI SADEGH; HAMEDI SOHEILA

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Paper Information

Journal: JOURNAL OF ENERGY PLANNING AND POLICY RESEARCH Year:2016 | Volume:2 | Issue:3 Page(s): 61-101

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Title

THE EFFECT OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN BAYESIAN MODEL AVERAGING

Author(s)

MEHRARA MOHSEN | REZAEI BARGOSHADI SADEGH | HAMEDI SOHEILA | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

ENERGY CONSUMPTION

ECONOMIC GROWTH

NON-OIL GDP

BAYESIAN MODEL AVERAGING (BMA)

Abstract

This paper investigates relationship of 16 variables on ECONOMIC GROWTH in Iran, using Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) and annual time series data from 1961 to 2014. “Inclusion probability” indicates that investment ratio, population growth rate (with a negative sign), imported capital good growth, labor force growth, and imported intermediate good growth take the first to fifth rank regarding their effects on ECONOMIC GROWTH respectively. The relationship between ENERGY CONSUMPTION and growth in non-oil production due to the low probability of this variable in the model is insignificant. Thus saving energy policies are not a threat to ECONOMIC GROWTH in Iran.

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APA: Copy

MEHRARA, MOHSEN, REZAEI BARGOSHADI, SADEGH, & HAMEDI, SOHEILA. (2016). THE EFFECT OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN BAYESIAN MODEL AVERAGING. JOURNAL OF ENERGY PLANNING AND POLICY RESEARCH, 2(3 ), 61-101. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/266324/en

Vancouver: Copy

MEHRARA MOHSEN, REZAEI BARGOSHADI SADEGH, HAMEDI SOHEILA. THE EFFECT OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN BAYESIAN MODEL AVERAGING. JOURNAL OF ENERGY PLANNING AND POLICY RESEARCH[Internet]. 2016;2(3 ):61-101. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/266324/en

IEEE: Copy

MOHSEN MEHRARA, SADEGH REZAEI BARGOSHADI, and SOHEILA HAMEDI, “THE EFFECT OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN IRAN BAYESIAN MODEL AVERAGING,” JOURNAL OF ENERGY PLANNING AND POLICY RESEARCH, vol. 2, no. 3 , pp. 61–101, 2016, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/266324/en

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