Future Studies of Iran Handmade Carpet Industry Using Critical Uncertainty Approach

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Soleymani Sarvestani Mohammad Hossein; JANDAGHI GHOLAMREZA; FATHI MOHAMMAD REZA; MALEKI MOHAMMAD HASAN

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Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: JOURNAL OF IRAN FUTURES STUDIES Year:2019 | Volume:4 | Issue:1 Page(s): 141-169

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Title

Future Studies of Iran Handmade Carpet Industry Using Critical Uncertainty Approach

Author(s)

Soleymani Sarvestani Mohammad Hossein | JANDAGHI GHOLAMREZA | FATHI MOHAMMAD REZA | MALEKI MOHAMMAD HASAN | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Futures Study

Handmade Carpet Industry

Global Business Network

DEMATEL

Scenario Planning

Abstract

Purpose: As the Handmade Carpet Industry has attracted many people, it can be an important factor in creating permanent and seasonal employment for the community. The challenges of the Handmade Carpet Industry, such as poor quality of raw materials, worn-out technology, weak design and marketing, exit of labor from industry, training and competitive market space require attention to the future. This study aimed to identify the plausible scenarios of Handmade Carpet Industry. Method: In this study, using Global Business Network and DEMATEL technique, we first identify key factors affecting the Iranian Handmade Carpet Industry, and then develop future scenarios for this industry. Initial data were collected through interviews with managers and experts in Handmade Carpet Industry (21 persons) and literature review. These data were analyzed using expert questionnaire and DEMATEL technique. Findings: According to the results of the GBN, the final key factors are: boom or recession in consumer countries, monetary and exchange rate policies, government support facilities, foreign sanctions, marketing, use of advanced technology in raw materials production, The boom or recession in Iran, export support method and the organizing approach of supply chain stages. According to the results of the DEMATEL technique, the key factor of foreign sanctions has been the most influential among the key factors. Also, the way of organizing the supply chain stages has affected more than all. Conclusion: Based on these two key factors, four scenarios of Rhino, Sham Market, Rabbit Sleep and Persian Cheetah are presented for the Iranian Handmade Carpet Industry. The present study will be used by private sector actors, government actors, investors and policy makers and local decision makers.

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APA: Copy

Soleymani Sarvestani, Mohammad Hossein, JANDAGHI, GHOLAMREZA, FATHI, MOHAMMAD REZA, & MALEKI, MOHAMMAD HASAN. (2019). Future Studies of Iran Handmade Carpet Industry Using Critical Uncertainty Approach. JOURNAL OF IRAN FUTURES STUDIES, 4(1 ), 141-169. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/270360/en

Vancouver: Copy

Soleymani Sarvestani Mohammad Hossein, JANDAGHI GHOLAMREZA, FATHI MOHAMMAD REZA, MALEKI MOHAMMAD HASAN. Future Studies of Iran Handmade Carpet Industry Using Critical Uncertainty Approach. JOURNAL OF IRAN FUTURES STUDIES[Internet]. 2019;4(1 ):141-169. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/270360/en

IEEE: Copy

Mohammad Hossein Soleymani Sarvestani, GHOLAMREZA JANDAGHI, MOHAMMAD REZA FATHI, and MOHAMMAD HASAN MALEKI, “Future Studies of Iran Handmade Carpet Industry Using Critical Uncertainty Approach,” JOURNAL OF IRAN FUTURES STUDIES, vol. 4, no. 1 , pp. 141–169, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/270360/en

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