FORECAST OF WIND TURBINE POWER USING DETERMINISTIC AND NON-DETERMINISTIC METHODS

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LITIPU Z.; HANADA K.; KERMANSHAHI B.; KELVIN CHU C.

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Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: IRANIAN JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL AND COMPUTER ENGINEERING (IJECE) Year:2004 | Volume:3 | Issue:2 Page(s): 87-94

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Information Journal Paper

Title

FORECAST OF WIND TURBINE POWER USING DETERMINISTIC AND NON-DETERMINISTIC METHODS

Author(s)

LITIPU Z. | HANADA K. | KERMANSHAHI B. | KELVIN CHU C. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

COMPOSITE DATA SYSTEM

MFM FORECAST

OFM FORECAST

SIMULATION

WPT OUTPUT FORECAST

Abstract

This paper presents and compares two different methods using in the forecasting of wind power turbine (WPT) outputs. These two forecasting methods, which utilize different types of input to forecast the output of WPT, are the Meteorology Forecasting Method (MFM) and the Observational Forecasting Method (OFM). The MFM determines the unit output from the forecasted wind speed at the WPT installation site, using the input from a composite data set created from the original annual-hourly weather data. Three different techniques can be used in MFM to forecast the wind speed, and the best result is selected for conversion calculation of the output of WPT. OFM, however, forecasts the unit output based on five observed annual-hourly data obtained from the operation of target WPT. Two different techniques can be used in the OFM SIMULATION. The results from these techniques for each method are compared and the best one will be used for the final forecast of the WPT outputs. This paper presents and compares the forecasting results of WPT output obtained from MFM and OFM. Furthermore, in order to increase the result precision and decrease the forecast error, a new COMPOSITE DATA SYSTEM is also developed and proposed.The methodologies proposed in this paper will be very useful for designers, planners and operators of the wind power turbines

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References

WIND TURBINE SIMULATION

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APA: Copy

LITIPU, Z., HANADA, K., KERMANSHAHI, B., & KELVIN CHU, C.. (2004). FORECAST OF WIND TURBINE POWER USING DETERMINISTIC AND NON-DETERMINISTIC METHODS. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL AND COMPUTER ENGINEERING (IJECE), 3(2), 87-94. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/283349/en

Vancouver: Copy

LITIPU Z., HANADA K., KERMANSHAHI B., KELVIN CHU C.. FORECAST OF WIND TURBINE POWER USING DETERMINISTIC AND NON-DETERMINISTIC METHODS. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL AND COMPUTER ENGINEERING (IJECE)[Internet]. 2004;3(2):87-94. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/283349/en

IEEE: Copy

Z. LITIPU, K. HANADA, B. KERMANSHAHI, and C. KELVIN CHU, “FORECAST OF WIND TURBINE POWER USING DETERMINISTIC AND NON-DETERMINISTIC METHODS,” IRANIAN JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL AND COMPUTER ENGINEERING (IJECE), vol. 3, no. 2, pp. 87–94, 2004, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/283349/en

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