AN INVESTIGATION OF SHORT-RUN AND LONG-RUN REACTIONS BETWEEN
INFLATION AND SUPPLY OF IRAN

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TAYEBI S.K.; MESRINEZHAD SH.

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Journal: Journal of Economic Research Year:2003 | Volume:- | Issue:61 Page(s): 1-24

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Title

AN INVESTIGATION OF SHORT-RUN AND LONG-RUN REACTIONS BETWEEN INFLATION AND SUPPLY OF IRAN"S NON-OIL EXPORTS

Author(s)

TAYEBI S.K. | MESRINEZHAD SH. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

INFLATIONQ2

NON-OIL EXPORTSQ2

SHORT RUN EFFECTQ4

LONG RUN EFFECTQ3

Abstract

The objective of the present paper is to consider the effect of INFLATION on supply of Iran"s NON-OIL EXPORTS for the period 1961-1999. It examines the hypothesis in which INFLATION has a negative effect on exporting goods in long-run, while its short-run effect is unknown. Hence, a theoretical framework is specified, and then is estimated by the Johansen - Juselious method (1990) for the long-run. The shortrun relationships are also estimated by the Error-Correction Model (ECM). Overall, estimation results obtained indicate that INFLATION variable has significantly negative impact on NON-OIL EXPORTS in the long-run, whereas the real effective exchange rate and gross domestic product (GDP) affect positively supply of such exports. Based upon such co integrating regression estimated by Johansen-Juselious method, the short-run behavior of exports undertaken by exploratory variables (such as INFLATION, GDP,...) is determined by ECM. Results estimated show that the short-run effect of INFLATION rather than its long-run effect is significantly negative on the supply of NON-OIL EXPORTS. This implies the fact that INFLATION in Iran has often deteriorated bably allocation resources. Furthermore, results can approve the hypothesis that NON-OIL EXPORTS with respect to INFLATION is a weak exogenous variable.

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APA: Copy

TAYEBI, S.K., & MESRINEZHAD, SH.. (2003). AN INVESTIGATION OF SHORT-RUN AND LONG-RUN REACTIONS BETWEEN INFLATION AND SUPPLY OF IRAN"S NON-OIL EXPORTS . TAHGHIGHAT-E-EGHTESADI, -(61), 1-24. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/366963/en

Vancouver: Copy

TAYEBI S.K., MESRINEZHAD SH.. AN INVESTIGATION OF SHORT-RUN AND LONG-RUN REACTIONS BETWEEN INFLATION AND SUPPLY OF IRAN"S NON-OIL EXPORTS . TAHGHIGHAT-E-EGHTESADI[Internet]. 2003;-(61):1-24. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/366963/en

IEEE: Copy

S.K. TAYEBI, and SH. MESRINEZHAD, “AN INVESTIGATION OF SHORT-RUN AND LONG-RUN REACTIONS BETWEEN INFLATION AND SUPPLY OF IRAN"S NON-OIL EXPORTS ,” TAHGHIGHAT-E-EGHTESADI, vol. -, no. 61, pp. 1–24, 2003, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/366963/en

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