Investigating the J Curve in the Trade relations of Iran using the Aggregate Trade Balance Approach

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TARI FATHOLLAH; ESMAEILPOUR MOGHADAM HADI; DEHBASHI VAHID

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Journal: Journal of New Economy and Trade Year:2018 | Volume:13 | Issue:3 Page(s): 57-72

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Title

Investigating the J Curve in the Trade relations of Iran using the Aggregate Trade Balance Approach

Author(s)

TARI FATHOLLAH | ESMAEILPOUR MOGHADAM HADI | DEHBASHI VAHID | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

J-curveQ2

exchange rateQ2

trade balanceQ2

Auto Regression Model Distributed Lag (ARDL)Q3

Iran.JEL:C22Q1

F14Q1

F31Q1

Abstract

The impact of exchange rate on the trade balance is one of the basic and controversial topics in the field of international economics. Changes in the exchange rates can cause different effects on a country's trade volume in the short term and long term, whose time-path is shown by the J curve. In this study, the aggregate trade balance approach and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and error correction model (ECM) are used to analyze the J-curve in Iran. The results show that Iran’ s current account time path is not consistent with J-curve. Specifically, the response of the trade balance to increasing exchange rates is positive and significant in both short run and the long run.

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APA: Copy

TARI, FATHOLLAH, ESMAEILPOUR MOGHADAM, HADI, & DEHBASHI, VAHID. (2018). Investigating the J Curve in the Trade relations of Iran using the Aggregate Trade Balance Approach. JOURNAL OF NEW ECONOMY & COMMERCE, 13(3 ), 57-72. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/384721/en

Vancouver: Copy

TARI FATHOLLAH, ESMAEILPOUR MOGHADAM HADI, DEHBASHI VAHID. Investigating the J Curve in the Trade relations of Iran using the Aggregate Trade Balance Approach. JOURNAL OF NEW ECONOMY & COMMERCE[Internet]. 2018;13(3 ):57-72. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/384721/en

IEEE: Copy

FATHOLLAH TARI, HADI ESMAEILPOUR MOGHADAM, and VAHID DEHBASHI, “Investigating the J Curve in the Trade relations of Iran using the Aggregate Trade Balance Approach,” JOURNAL OF NEW ECONOMY & COMMERCE, vol. 13, no. 3 , pp. 57–72, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/384721/en

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