The Evaluation of Threshold Effects of Exchange rate Overshooting on the Value Added of Iran’ s Energy (Oil and Gas (1980-2018))

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AMIRI MARYAM; Musavi Seyed Nematalleh; AMINIFARD ABBAS

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Journal: Journal of Industrial Economic Research Year:2019 | Volume:3 | Issue:8 Page(s): 29-42

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Title

The Evaluation of Threshold Effects of Exchange rate Overshooting on the Value Added of Iran’ s Energy (Oil and Gas (1980-2018))

Author(s)

AMIRI MARYAM | Musavi Seyed Nematalleh | AMINIFARD ABBAS | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Exchange rate Overshooting

Threshold effects

Energy

sector value added

Abstract

Due to the impacts of exchange rate on the value of Energy sector variables, this study investigates Exchange rate Overshooting and its effect on Energy sector (oil-gas) Value Added. For this purpose, in the two scenarios, firstly, using the Mandel Fleming and Dornbusch model, the exchange rate was analyzed And by using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Approach, long-run relationships between exchange rate monetary Overshooting variables and other variables were determined. . In the second scenario, to investigate the effects of exchange rate monetary Overshooting and its effect on the value added of the Energy sector, we used the threshold regression model (TAR) with two different regimes. According to the results when the exchange rate is below the threshold (149. 98), the variables of gross fixed capital formation and currency Exchange rate Overshooting are not significant and the variables of Energy consumption, inflation and capital stock have a significant effect on the value added of the Energy sector. Also after the threshold (149. 98) the variables of capital stock and inflation are not significant and the variables of Energy consumption exchange rate monetary Overshooting and gross fixed capital formation have a significant effect on the value added of the Energy sector.

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APA: Copy

AMIRI, MARYAM, Musavi, Seyed Nematalleh, & AMINIFARD, ABBAS. (2019). The Evaluation of Threshold Effects of Exchange rate Overshooting on the Value Added of Iran’ s Energy (Oil and Gas (1980-2018)). JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIC RESEARCHES, 3(8 ), 29-42. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/384880/en

Vancouver: Copy

AMIRI MARYAM, Musavi Seyed Nematalleh, AMINIFARD ABBAS. The Evaluation of Threshold Effects of Exchange rate Overshooting on the Value Added of Iran’ s Energy (Oil and Gas (1980-2018)). JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIC RESEARCHES[Internet]. 2019;3(8 ):29-42. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/384880/en

IEEE: Copy

MARYAM AMIRI, Seyed Nematalleh Musavi, and ABBAS AMINIFARD, “The Evaluation of Threshold Effects of Exchange rate Overshooting on the Value Added of Iran’ s Energy (Oil and Gas (1980-2018)),” JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIC RESEARCHES, vol. 3, no. 8 , pp. 29–42, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/384880/en

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