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Information Journal Paper

Title

Risk aversion and business cycle in Iranian economy

Pages

  35-58

Abstract

 The preferences of individuals towards risk are one of the most important economic variables and have a significant impact on economic decisions. Investment decisions, consumption, saving, purchases of insurance and future contracts are among the decisions where risk preferences play a key role. Considering the importance of risk preferences in the decision-making process, it is necessary to calculate an indicator that can show the state of risk-orientation in the whole economy. The purpose of this paper is to estimate the time series of the Risk aversion parameter in Iran's economy based on quarterly data during the period of 2002-2017. For this purpose, Time-Varying parameter GARCH in mean models was used. Estimates of Risk aversion in Iran's economy showed that this parameter was not constant in Iran's economy and fluctuated between 0. 81 and 7. 6 over the period under study. The results also showed that Risk aversion is much lower in the boom period than the recession and has a countercyclical behavior.

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    APA: Copy

    Aminirad, Mehdi, MEHREGAN, NADER, SHAHABADI, ABOLFAZL, & Jafariseresht, Davod. (2019). Risk aversion and business cycle in Iranian economy. JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND MODELING (JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS), 10(2 ), 35-58. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/393194/en

    Vancouver: Copy

    Aminirad Mehdi, MEHREGAN NADER, SHAHABADI ABOLFAZL, Jafariseresht Davod. Risk aversion and business cycle in Iranian economy. JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND MODELING (JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS)[Internet]. 2019;10(2 ):35-58. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/393194/en

    IEEE: Copy

    Mehdi Aminirad, NADER MEHREGAN, ABOLFAZL SHAHABADI, and Davod Jafariseresht, “Risk aversion and business cycle in Iranian economy,” JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND MODELING (JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS), vol. 10, no. 2 , pp. 35–58, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/393194/en

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