Role of Structural Shocks on Fluctuations of Crude Oil Prices

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AZIMI SARA; NEISY ABDOLSADEH; MOHAMMADI TEYMOUR

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ISSN: 2588-4824

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Journal: JOURNAL OF APPLIED THEORIES OF ECONOMICS Year:2019 | Volume:6 | Issue:1 Page(s): 241-264

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Title

Role of Structural Shocks on Fluctuations of Crude Oil Prices

Author(s)

AZIMI SARA | NEISY ABDOLSADEH | MOHAMMADI TEYMOUR | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Oil price fluctuationsQ1

Structural shocksQ1

Fundamental shocksQ1

Abstract

The drastic Oil price fluctuations in recent years have made researchers and policymakers curious about the role of each structural shock in the Variability of crude oil prices. In this study, fluctuations of WTI & ORB prices are analyzed in the form of a structural vector auto regression model (SVAR) over the period from 2006 to 2018. Based on historical decomposition of WIT price, fluctuations of crude oil price in 2008 are mainly due to a combination of Structural shocks, in which oil demand shocks play a significant role in the sharp fall of oil prices since the second half of 2008 Onwards. While the reason for the fall in WIT crude oil price in the second half of 2014 was largely due to supply shocks and oil inventory demand shocks. During this period, contango has accelerated the accumulation of crude oil commercial stocks and has intensified the oil price fall.

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APA: Copy

AZIMI, SARA, NEISY, ABDOLSADEH, & MOHAMMADI, TEYMOUR. (2019). Role of Structural Shocks on Fluctuations of Crude Oil Prices. JOURNAL OF APPLIED THEORIES OF ECONOMICS, 6(1 ), 241-264. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/405088/en

Vancouver: Copy

AZIMI SARA, NEISY ABDOLSADEH, MOHAMMADI TEYMOUR. Role of Structural Shocks on Fluctuations of Crude Oil Prices. JOURNAL OF APPLIED THEORIES OF ECONOMICS[Internet]. 2019;6(1 ):241-264. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/405088/en

IEEE: Copy

SARA AZIMI, ABDOLSADEH NEISY, and TEYMOUR MOHAMMADI, “Role of Structural Shocks on Fluctuations of Crude Oil Prices,” JOURNAL OF APPLIED THEORIES OF ECONOMICS, vol. 6, no. 1 , pp. 241–264, 2019, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/405088/en

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