STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF POVERTY LINE IN SEMNAN PROVINCE DURING DEVELOPMENT PLANS (1368–1383)

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ABOU NOURI E.; MALEKI N.

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Journal: Social Welfare Year:2008 | Volume:7 | Issue:28 Page(s): 215-237

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Title

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF POVERTY LINE IN SEMNAN PROVINCE DURING DEVELOPMENT PLANS (1368–1383)

Author(s)

ABOU NOURI E. | MALEKI N. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

ECONOMIC CHANGESQ3

GROUNDED THEORYQ3

IRANIAN KURDISTANQ3

OURAMAN - E - TAKHT REGIONQ2

PARADIGM MODELQ3

SOCIAL INTERPRETIVISMQ3

Abstract

Objectives: This research is seeking to answer a basic question: "Have three five years Socio-Economic plans in first, second, third economic development could create poverty changes in Semnan province or not (1368 – 83 )? Doing so, poverty line and the poverty indices are estimated concerning urban and rural areas during 1st (1989-1993), 2nd (1995-1999) and 3rd (2000-2004) plans. Method: In order to estimate poverty line and the poverty indices, the expenditure-income data, price indices concerning urban and rural areas during three socio-economic plans (1989-2004) is used. Consumer behavior is analyzed by dividing the total urban and rural consumption into 8 main commodity groups: the food and beverage, clothing, housing, housing furniture’s and services, health and medical cares, transport and communications, entertainment and educations, and other commodities. Then, households poverty line, and Head-Count, Poverty Gap and Foster, Greer, Thorbecke index have been found based on household survey data using the Liner Expenditure System (LES) of equations with iterative seemingly unrelated Regression (ISUR) method corresponding to rural and urban areas of Semnan province.Finding: Poverty lines in urban and rural areas during the three socio-economic plans have had upward trends; in urban areas, it has increased by more than 17 times and has reached from 1042791 Rials at the first year of the 1st plan to 17761513 Rials at the end of the 3rd plan. In rural areas, the poverty line was 691931 Rials at the first year of the 1st plan which by 18 times increase has reached to 12409611 Rials at the end of the 3rd plan.Results: One of the main reasons of the increase has been the high inflation rate. Although, the poverty lines in urban areas have always been higher than that in the rural areas, the rural Head count poverty has been more than urban, but the Findings: Eight main categories emerged from the collected data and coded in the axial coding process; these are Ecological Problems, Shortage of Resources, Permanent Poverty, Expansion of Service Sector, Labor Migration, State based Economy, Embracing ECONOMIC CHANGES, and Comparative – Optimistic Evaluation. The core category extracted during selective coding process was taken to be "Subsistence’s Improvement", which captures all main categories and the whole trend of ECONOMIC CHANGES in the society studied.Results: According to this category, People of Ouraman consider the consequences of ECONOMIC CHANGES as something positive and functional for their live. The results have been presented in a PARADIGM MODEL containing of conditions, interactions and consequences around the core category. In this model the Ecological Problems, Shortage of Resources and Permanent Poverty are considered as contextual conditions; the Expansion of Service Sector and Labor Migration are regarded to be the interactions, and the State based Economy, Embracing ECONOMIC CHANGES, and Comparative – Optimistic Evaluation are taken into account as consequences of ECONOMIC CHANGES in Ouraman region of IRANIAN KURDISTAN.

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APA: Copy

ABOU NOURI, E., & MALEKI, N.. (2008). STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF POVERTY LINE IN SEMNAN PROVINCE DURING DEVELOPMENT PLANS (1368–1383). SOCIAL WELFARE, 7(28), 215-237. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/56471/en

Vancouver: Copy

ABOU NOURI E., MALEKI N.. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF POVERTY LINE IN SEMNAN PROVINCE DURING DEVELOPMENT PLANS (1368–1383). SOCIAL WELFARE[Internet]. 2008;7(28):215-237. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/56471/en

IEEE: Copy

E. ABOU NOURI, and N. MALEKI, “STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF POVERTY LINE IN SEMNAN PROVINCE DURING DEVELOPMENT PLANS (1368–1383),” SOCIAL WELFARE, vol. 7, no. 28, pp. 215–237, 2008, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/56471/en

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