THE INFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF FUEL PRICE INCREASES ON ROAD TRANSPORTATION

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KAFAIE SEYYED MOHAMMAD ALI; SABURI KARKHANE H.

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Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: JOURNAL OF TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH Year:2011 | Volume:8 | Issue:1 (26) Page(s): 35-46

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Title

THE INFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF FUEL PRICE INCREASES ON ROAD TRANSPORTATION

Author(s)

KAFAIE SEYYED MOHAMMAD ALI | SABURI KARKHANE H. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

INPUT-OUTPUT TABLE

GASOLINE

GASOIL

ENERGY SUBSIDIES

SECTORAL EXPENDITURES

ROAD TRANSPORTATION (CARGO AND PASSENGER)

Abstract

Fuel is one of the most important inputs in road transportation (cargo and passenger) in Iran. Since price policies are being proposed for cutting down very high consumption of fuel in this sector, we try to find out the inflationary effects of these policies in this sector and in the whole economy. In doing this, we use INPUT-OUTPUT TABLE of 1380 statistical center of Iran, under 3 alternative scenarios: (1) 200% increase in GASOLINE’s price, (2) 200% increase in GASOIL’s price and (3) 200% simultaneous increase in prices of GASOLINE and GASOIL. Our findings indicate that: under 1st scenario, inflation would rise in the cargo and passenger subsectors by 6% and 9% respectively, and in the whole economy (in case of no expected inflation) by 4.3%, under 2nd scenario, inflation would increase in the cargo and passenger subsectors by 4.2% and 4.5% respectively, and in the whole economy (in case of no expected inflation) by 2.2% and, under 3rd scenario, inflation in the cargo and passenger subsectors by 10.2% and 13.5% respectively, and in the whole economy (in case of no expected inflation) would rise by 6.5%.

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APA: Copy

KAFAIE, SEYYED MOHAMMAD ALI, & SABURI KARKHANE, H.. (2011). THE INFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF FUEL PRICE INCREASES ON ROAD TRANSPORTATION. JOURNAL OF TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH, 8(1 (26)), 35-46. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/568532/en

Vancouver: Copy

KAFAIE SEYYED MOHAMMAD ALI, SABURI KARKHANE H.. THE INFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF FUEL PRICE INCREASES ON ROAD TRANSPORTATION. JOURNAL OF TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH[Internet]. 2011;8(1 (26)):35-46. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/568532/en

IEEE: Copy

SEYYED MOHAMMAD ALI KAFAIE, and H. SABURI KARKHANE, “THE INFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF FUEL PRICE INCREASES ON ROAD TRANSPORTATION,” JOURNAL OF TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH, vol. 8, no. 1 (26), pp. 35–46, 2011, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/568532/en

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