BAYESIAN STOCHASTIC DYNAMIC PROGRAMMING UNDER DEMAND UNCERTAINTY

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KARAMOUZ M.; MOUSAVI SEYED JAMSHID

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Journal: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING AND PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT (IJIE) (INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING SCIENCE) (PERSIAN) Year:2001 | Volume:12 | Issue:2 Page(s): 17-30

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Title

BAYESIAN STOCHASTIC DYNAMIC PROGRAMMING UNDER DEMAND UNCERTAINTY

Author(s)

KARAMOUZ M. | MOUSAVI SEYED JAMSHID | Issue Writer Certificate

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Abstract

This paper introduces a stochastic dynamic programming (SDP) model which considers water demand as a state variable. This model called uncertain demand SDP (UDSDP), is a developed form of variable demand-driven advanced models. In this model demand is converted from deterministic to stochastic form. At first, using available climatic data and methods of determination for evapotranspiration of crops for a region in Isfahan, Iran, the time series of irrigation demand is built. Subsequently, the statistical characteristic of this time series is calculated to incorporate demand uncertainty in optimization model.Optimal policies of UDSDP model are evaluated for Zayandeh-rud riverreservoir system in a real time simulation model. Reliability indices of this model is calculated and compared with the results of a deterministic demand optimization model. This comparison shows the ability and effectiveness of UDSDP model especially when the value of demand uncertainty is significant relative to other uncertainties in reservoir operation model.

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APA: Copy

KARAMOUZ, M., & MOUSAVI, SEYED JAMSHID. (2001). BAYESIAN STOCHASTIC DYNAMIC PROGRAMMING UNDER DEMAND UNCERTAINTY. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING AND PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT (IJIE) (INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING SCIENCE) (PERSIAN), 12(2), 17-30. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/65872/en

Vancouver: Copy

KARAMOUZ M., MOUSAVI SEYED JAMSHID. BAYESIAN STOCHASTIC DYNAMIC PROGRAMMING UNDER DEMAND UNCERTAINTY. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING AND PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT (IJIE) (INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING SCIENCE) (PERSIAN)[Internet]. 2001;12(2):17-30. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/65872/en

IEEE: Copy

M. KARAMOUZ, and SEYED JAMSHID MOUSAVI, “BAYESIAN STOCHASTIC DYNAMIC PROGRAMMING UNDER DEMAND UNCERTAINTY,” INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING AND PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT (IJIE) (INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING SCIENCE) (PERSIAN), vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 17–30, 2001, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/65872/en

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