MONEY DEMAND FORECAST IN HORIZON OF 1404 IN IRAN (APPLICATION OF TIME SERIES MODELS)

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HOSSEINI SEYYED SAFDAR; SHAHBAZI HABIB; JAHANGARD HALIMEH

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Journal: ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW Year:2010 | Volume:10 | Issue:3 (38) Page(s): 67-86

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Title

MONEY DEMAND FORECAST IN HORIZON OF 1404 IN IRAN (APPLICATION OF TIME SERIES MODELS)

Author(s)

HOSSEINI SEYYED SAFDAR | SHAHBAZI HABIB | JAHANGARD HALIMEH | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

IRANQ2

DEMAND FOR MONEYQ3

THE YEAR 2010Q2

TIME SERIES MODELSQ3

VECMQ2

VARQ2

ARIMAQ2

Abstract

Assessing the DEMAND FOR MONEY is necessary for making decisions and determining the monetary policies for economic growth and development goals. In this article, IRAN's money demand has been forecasted in 1404 horizon by using VECM, VAR and ARIMA TIME SERIES MODELS and using data during the 1355-1385. Results show that ARIMA model with 1.3 percent error is the most suitable approach for money demand forecast. Hence, results predict that money demand will have an annual average growth rate of 26 percent until 1404.

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APA: Copy

HOSSEINI, SEYYED SAFDAR, SHAHBAZI, HABIB, & JAHANGARD, HALIMEH. (2010). MONEY DEMAND FORECAST IN HORIZON OF 1404 IN IRAN (APPLICATION OF TIME SERIES MODELS). ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW, 10(3 (38)), 67-86. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/67301/en

Vancouver: Copy

HOSSEINI SEYYED SAFDAR, SHAHBAZI HABIB, JAHANGARD HALIMEH. MONEY DEMAND FORECAST IN HORIZON OF 1404 IN IRAN (APPLICATION OF TIME SERIES MODELS). ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW[Internet]. 2010;10(3 (38)):67-86. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/67301/en

IEEE: Copy

SEYYED SAFDAR HOSSEINI, HABIB SHAHBAZI, and HALIMEH JAHANGARD, “MONEY DEMAND FORECAST IN HORIZON OF 1404 IN IRAN (APPLICATION OF TIME SERIES MODELS),” ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW, vol. 10, no. 3 (38), pp. 67–86, 2010, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/67301/en

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