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Information Journal Paper

Title

People’ s Concerns With the Prediction of COVID-19 in Bangladesh: Application of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model

Pages

  84-93

Abstract

 Introduction: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a public Health concern, and behavioral adjustments will minimize its spread worldwide by 80%. The main purpose of this research was to examine the factors associated with concerns about COVID-19 and the future direction of the COVID-19 scenario of Bangladesh. Methods: The binary logistic regression model was performed to assess the impact of COVID-19 concern in Bangladesh. Based on data obtained through online surveys in November 2020 and to predict the next 40 days daily confirmed and deaths of COVID-19 in Bangladesh by applying the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model. Results: The study enrolled 400 respondents, with 253 (63. 2%) were male, and 147 (36. 8%) were female. The mean age of respondents was 25. 13 ± 5. 74 years old. Almost 70% of them were found to be concerned about the COVID-19 pandemic. The result showed that respondents’ Education level, knowledge regarding COVID-19 transmits, households with aged people, seasonal flu and HD/respiratory problems, and materials used while sneezing/coughing significantly influenced COVID-19 concerns. The analysis predicted that confirmed cases would gradually decrease for the ARIMA model while death cases will be constant for the next 40 days in Bangladesh. Conclusion: The current study suggested that knowledge about COVID-19 spread and Education played a vital role in the decline of COVID-19 concerned. A particular program should focus on creating an awareness of the disadvantages of concerns about the COVID-19 pandemic by augmenting knowledge about COVID-19 spread, enhancing Education in Bangladesh.

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    APA: Copy

    Hossain, Md. Ismail, Saleheen, Ahmed Abdus Saleh, Haq, Iqramul, Zinnia, Maliha Afroj, Hasan, Md. Rifat, Kabir, Samia, Haq Methun, Md. Injamul, Hossain Nayan, Md. Iqbal, & Talukder, Ashis. (2021). People’ s Concerns With the Prediction of COVID-19 in Bangladesh: Application of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TRAVEL MEDICINE AND GLOBAL HEALTH, 9(2), 84-93. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/690703/en

    Vancouver: Copy

    Hossain Md. Ismail, Saleheen Ahmed Abdus Saleh, Haq Iqramul, Zinnia Maliha Afroj, Hasan Md. Rifat, Kabir Samia, Haq Methun Md. Injamul, Hossain Nayan Md. Iqbal, Talukder Ashis. People’ s Concerns With the Prediction of COVID-19 in Bangladesh: Application of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TRAVEL MEDICINE AND GLOBAL HEALTH[Internet]. 2021;9(2):84-93. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/690703/en

    IEEE: Copy

    Md. Ismail Hossain, Ahmed Abdus Saleh Saleheen, Iqramul Haq, Maliha Afroj Zinnia, Md. Rifat Hasan, Samia Kabir, Md. Injamul Haq Methun, Md. Iqbal Hossain Nayan, and Ashis Talukder, “People’ s Concerns With the Prediction of COVID-19 in Bangladesh: Application of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model,” INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TRAVEL MEDICINE AND GLOBAL HEALTH, vol. 9, no. 2, pp. 84–93, 2021, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/690703/en

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