ANALYSIS AND INVESTIGATION OF THE RELATION BETWEEN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND GASOLINE AND GAS OIL DEMAND IN IRAN'S TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM (GROUND-ROUT)

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ABOU NOURI ABAS ALI; HAMEDANI A.

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Journal: Iranian Journal of Trade Studies Year:2011 | Volume:15 | Issue:57 Page(s): 115-154

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Title

ANALYSIS AND INVESTIGATION OF THE RELATION BETWEEN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND GASOLINE AND GAS OIL DEMAND IN IRAN'S TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM (GROUND-ROUT)

Author(s)

ABOU NOURI ABAS ALI | HAMEDANI A. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

FUEL DEMANDQ3

ECONOMIC GROWTHQ2

VAR MODELQ3

GRANGER CAUSALITY TESTQ3

JOHANSEN COINTEGRATION TESTQ3

Abstract

This article aims to investigate the relationship between FUEL DEMAND and ECONOMIC GROWTH in the period of 1966-2005 using the Vector Auto Regressive (VAR) methods and GRANGER CAUSALITY TEST and Vector Error Correction estimation (VEC) and JOHANSEN COINTEGRATION TEST. The results suggest a long term relation between gasoline annual consumption and gross domestic product (GDP). The results of variance decomposition show that GDP has the highest impact on itself and the gasoline consumption variation is mainly defined by the GDP. Incorporating gas oil annual consumption, the results of variance decomposition show that GDP has the highest impact on itself and the gas oil annual consumption variation is mainly defined by GDP. The results of estimation incorporating gas oil annual consumption to the model show that that GDP has the highest impact on itself and the gas oil annual consumption variation is mainly defined by itself. The GRANGER CAUSALITY TEST runs one-way from GDP to gasoline annual consumption and not the other way but it does not show any relationship between GDP and gas oil annual consumption. The results of VEC estimation confirm the results of GRANGER CAUSALITY TEST. The JOHANSEN COINTEGRATION TEST shows a relation between GDP and gasoline and gas oil annual consumption in long term. JEL Classification: O40, L91.

Cites

INVESTIGATION THE CAUSAL RELATION OF FACTORS INFLUENCING ON DEMAND FOR LUMBER IMPORTS IN IRAN

References

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APA: Copy

ABOU NOURI, ABAS ALI, & HAMEDANI, A.. (2011). ANALYSIS AND INVESTIGATION OF THE RELATION BETWEEN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND GASOLINE AND GAS OIL DEMAND IN IRAN'S TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM (GROUND-ROUT). IRANIAN JOURNAL OF TRADE STUDIES (IJTS), 15(57), 115-154. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/7246/en

Vancouver: Copy

ABOU NOURI ABAS ALI, HAMEDANI A.. ANALYSIS AND INVESTIGATION OF THE RELATION BETWEEN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND GASOLINE AND GAS OIL DEMAND IN IRAN'S TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM (GROUND-ROUT). IRANIAN JOURNAL OF TRADE STUDIES (IJTS)[Internet]. 2011;15(57):115-154. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/7246/en

IEEE: Copy

ABAS ALI ABOU NOURI, and A. HAMEDANI, “ANALYSIS AND INVESTIGATION OF THE RELATION BETWEEN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND GASOLINE AND GAS OIL DEMAND IN IRAN'S TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM (GROUND-ROUT),” IRANIAN JOURNAL OF TRADE STUDIES (IJTS), vol. 15, no. 57, pp. 115–154, 2011, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/7246/en

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